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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2015Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Illinois 36%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 24, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
0107724
IllinoisIllinois
337013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-106-1013-1713-24
IllinoisWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISPUNT928ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT4-20ydFG918ydTD1189ydPUNT38ydFG1259ydFG970ydTO1062ydEND11ydPUNT420ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydTD586ydTD886ydPUNT39ydTD1365ydTO315ydTO727ydDOWNS532ydPUNT513ydTO550ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Illinois
StatisticWisconsinIllinois
Passing25-4022-43
Pass Yards281278
Rush Yards13855
Total Yards419333
Turnovers22
3rd Down9-163-12
Penalties4-457-50
Possession40:0919:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Bart Houston
22/33, 232 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Alex Erickson
4 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Alex Erickson
10 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
Illinois
passing
Wes Lunt
22/43, 278 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
13 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Geronimo Allison
8 REC, 99 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Caleb Day

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Tyler White

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.92

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 11 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Day for 2 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 10

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Joel Stave pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+16 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 53 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 16 yds to the Illin 26 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Illin 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 35

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 29

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.55

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 16

1st & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare Ogunbowale

2nd & 23Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joel Stave sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 12

3rd & 27Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.01

Bart Houston sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 9

4th & 30Punt+9 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 37 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for no gain to the Wisc 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 7 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 13 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 22

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.86

Taylor Zalewski 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.98

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 35 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Eric Steffes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 4 yds to the Illin 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Illin 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Reggie Love

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Bart Houston run for 1 yd to the Illin 23

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.55

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 23 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 8 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Illin 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner McEvoy run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 16 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Eric Steffes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 14 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.74

Bart Houston pass complete to Derek Watt for 12 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 8 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Illin 9 Alec Ingold fumbled, recovered by Wisc

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Illin 3

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.75

Rafael Gaglianone 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 8 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 7 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.25

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 37 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 9 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Wisc 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.94

Taylor Zalewski 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 5 yds to the Illin 47

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Alec Ingold run for 8 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Illin 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 21 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.79

Bart Houston pass intercepted, touchback. Eaton Spence return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Alex Erickson run for 13 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 55 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 6 yds to the Illin 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 7 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Zach Grant

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 49 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 7 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Alec Ingold run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 57 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 7 yds to the Illin 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Day for 16 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 15 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.43

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 19 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 36 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.85

Alex Erickson run for 56 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Alex Erickson run for 8 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 3 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Illin 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 9 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 17

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 14 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Illin 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner McEvoy run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Bart Houston pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 11 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Bart Houston sacked by Rob Bain for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.64

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 23 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Illin 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Alec Ingold run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bart Houston pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 9 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 15 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.24

Wes Lunt pass intercepted Michael Caputo return for no gain to the Wisc 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex Erickson run for 4 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Bart Houston pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Illin 24

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.56

Bart Houston pass intercepted, touchback. Clayton Fejedelem return for no gain

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 10

1st & 20Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.69

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 29 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Illin 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alec Ingold run for 5 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Alec Ingold run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 39

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Illin 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.92

Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 31 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dionte Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 7 yds to the Illin 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.56

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 12 yds Dionte Taylor fumbled, recovered by Wisc Chris Orr

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 41

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
26%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
53%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays