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← Back to GamesOct 18, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 14.5

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 86%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 18, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
307010
Ohio StateOhio State
02101738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-321-321-1024-1031-1038-10
Ohio StatePenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPUNT3-1ydFG661ydPUNT518ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT840ydTD1070ydPUNT3-1ydTD545ydDOWNS631ydTD666ydPUNT428ydEND20ydTD378ydPUNT831ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT641ydFG1153ydDOWNS562ydTD885ydTO46ydTD322ydPUNT3-2ydEND331yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Ohio State
StatisticPenn StateOhio State
Passing7-1313-19
Pass Yards120114
Rush Yards195315
Total Yards315429
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-125-11
Penalties3-225-70
Possession27:4032:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Christian Hackenberg
7/13, 120 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Saquon Barkley
26 CAR, 194 YDS
receiving
Chris Godwin
3 REC, 103 YDS
Ohio State
passing
Cardale Jones
9/15, 84 YDS
rushing
Ezekiel Elliott
27 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Thomas
3 REC, 34 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 21

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael Thomas

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Braxton Miller

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 56 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 23

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Akeel Lynch run for 11 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.70

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 45 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the OhSt 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brandon Polk for 4 yds to the OhSt 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Joey Julius 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 5 yds to the OhSt 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 8

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian Hackenberg run for 4 yds to the PnSt 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

4th & 6Punt+16 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 39 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 16 yds to the PnSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 41

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cardale Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 7 yds to the PnSt 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 32 yds, downed at the PnSt 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 11

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hackenberg, Christian pass incomplete to Godwin, Chris, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Conley, Gareon) 15 yards to the PENNST32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Vonn Bell) to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

3rd & 1Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 41 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Gaia) to the PnSt 49

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.31

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 28 yds, downed at the OhSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin Marshall

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.35

Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 17 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Braxton Miller run for 15 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Cardale Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 31

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the PnSt 25

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ezekiel Elliott run for 8 yds to the PnSt 5

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

J.T. Barrett 5 Yd Run (Jack Willoughby Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 22

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.50

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 18

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Campbell) to the PnSt 13

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 8 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Braxton Miller run for 8 yds to the PnSt 22

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.21

Braxton Miller run for 12 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Ezekiel Elliott 10 Yd Run (Jack Willoughby Kick)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Saquon Barkley run for 18 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Saquon Barkley run for 14 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.34

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt Brandon Polk

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 2 yds to the OhSt 35

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Christian Hackenberg run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31

4th & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -2.02

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Chris Worley for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 34

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the OhSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.84

Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 17 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds to the PnSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the PnSt 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

J.T. Barrett 13 Yd Run (Jack Willoughby Kick)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.96

Saquon Barkley run for 23 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the PnSt 49

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 4

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.62

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 56 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Saquon Barkley run for 14 yds to the OhSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

DaeSean Hamilton 8 Yd pass from Christian Hackenberg (Joey Julius Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 5 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cardale Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.13

Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 20 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Braxton Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 42

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Cardale Jones sacked by Carl Nassib and Anthony Zettel for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 44

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 8

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.47

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Adolphus Washington for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 3

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 7

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 12

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 41

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Cardale Jones sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 48

2nd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the PnSt 39

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Cardale Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 43 Cardale Jones fumbled, recovered by OhSt

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, downed at the PnSt 4

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.67

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Gareon Conley) to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Scott run for 3 yds to the PnSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

J.T. Barrett run for 21 yds to the OHIOST 42 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus Baugh) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.98

J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 48

3rd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.44

J.T. Barrett run for 27 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the PnSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the PnSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.95

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 22

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Willoughby 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.58

Saquon Barkley run for 56 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Brandon Polk run for 6 yds to the OhSt 13

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the OhSt 13

4th & 2Sack-2 ydsPPA -3.87

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Tommy Schutt for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 15

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Ezekiel Elliott run for 19 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.57

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 21 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the PnSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Braxton Miller 5 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Jack Willoughby Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Hackenberg, Christian pass incomplete to Blacknall, Saeed, PENALTY PENNST holding 7 yards to the PENNST8, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Akeel Lynch for no gain to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Camren Williams) to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.39

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Adolphus Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 22 Christian Hackenberg fumbled, forced by Adolphus Washington, recovered by OhSt Sam Hubbard , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalin Marshall run for 15 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Michael Thomas 6 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Jack Willoughby Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 25

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 46 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 32

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Bri'onte Dunn run for 19 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bri'onte Dunn run for 3 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Bri'onte Dunn run for 9 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
51%
35 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play