Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 17, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 17, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
141071748
MinnesotaMinnesota
7701125

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-77-1714-2414-3122-3825-3825-48
MinnesotaNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINMINNEBTD975ydTD382ydPUNT38ydMISS47ydTO29ydTD329ydPUNT420ydFG1663ydTD875ydTD875ydPUNT515ydEND11ydPUNT37ydPUNT616ydTD1099ydPUNT3-12ydTD659ydTD875ydPUNT416ydFG1052ydFG738ydTD512ydTO41ydEND3-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Minnesota
StatisticNebraskaMinnesota
Passing18-2626-40
Pass Yards261301
Rush Yards20365
Total Yards464366
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-136-15
Penalties2-256-55
Possession31:4328:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Tommy Armstrong Jr.
18/26, 261 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Terrell Newby
13 CAR, 116 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Alonzo Moore
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
26/40, 301 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Shannon Brooks
8 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
K.J. Maye
11 REC, 94 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 8 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 1 yd to the Minn 39

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.07

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 24 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 7 yds to the Neb 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 24

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.88

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Terrell Newby run for 69 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 8 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14

4th & 2Punt+42 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 42 yds to the Minn 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 2 yds to the Minn 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell Newby

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Drew Brown 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 6 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.90

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 29 Shannon Brooks fumbled, forced by Nate Gerry, recovered by Neb Jack Gangwish

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Terrell Newby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.65

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 6 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 1 yd to the Minn 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Andy Janovich run for 5 yds to the Neb 20 Andy Janovich fumbled, forced by Jonathan Celestin, recovered by Neb Andy Janovich for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 14 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.04

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 18 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Andy Janovich run for 10 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 7 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Alonzo Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan Carter

3rd & 11Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.95

Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Theiren Cockran for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 28

4th & 23Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +2.28

Drew Brown 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

KJ Maye run for 14 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.11

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 31 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 8 yds to the Neb 9

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

KJ Maye run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 34 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Minn 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Minn 21

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 7 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andy Janovich run for 5 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Terrell Newby run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 6 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 7 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 24

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 19

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 66 yds, downed at the Neb 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 6 yds to the Neb 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Andy Janovich run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32

4th & 3Punt+14 yds

Sam Foltz punt for 45 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for 14 yds to the Minn 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Minn 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 13 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Mitch Leidner sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Andy Janovich run for 1 yd to the Neb 2

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 9

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 5 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 20 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 24

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 13 yds to the Neb 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 18 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.86

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 25 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Cethan Carter 10 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Miles Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.72

Mitch Leidner sacked by Vincent Valentine for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 23

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 18

4th & 22Punt+7 yds

Peter Mortell punt for 48 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 7 yds to the Neb 41

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Alonzo Moore run for 8 yds to the Neb 49

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Andy Janovich run for 6 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 18

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 14

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Nate Wozniak

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.99

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 25 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 18 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 18 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Leidner pass to KJ Maye for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Terrell Newby run for 16 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell Newby

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan Carter

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Foltz punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 27

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Shannon Brooks run for 14 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.77

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.91

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 29 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 26

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Neb 21

4th & 15Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.83

Ryan Santoso 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.33

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 27 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Andy Janovich run for 1 yd to the Minn 30

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA -0.20

Drew Brown 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 5 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon Lingen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Eric Carter

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-41 ydsPPA -7.01

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted for a TD Joshua Kalu return for 41 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad Still

4th & 9Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA +0.27

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Nate Gerry return for 2 yds to the Minn 43

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 46

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 48

3rd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play