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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 42%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 17, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
0771327
MichiganMichigan
01010323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-717-720-1423-2123-27
MichiganMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICPUNT622ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS1670ydTD872ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-4ydTD446ydFG528ydPUNT54ydPUNT33ydEND24ydPUNT39ydDOWNS49ydTD638ydTD575ydFG1061ydDOWNS943ydPUNT624ydPUNT37ydFG48ydTD275ydPUNT31ydPUNT428ydPUNT34ydDOWNS927ydTD4-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Michigan
StatisticMichigan StateMichigan
Passing18-3915-25
Pass Yards328168
Rush Yards5862
Total Yards386230
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-134-15
Penalties5-448-70
Possession30:1129:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
18/39, 328 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gerald Holmes
8 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Aaron Burbridge
9 REC, 132 YDS
Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
15/25, 168 YDS
rushing
De'Veon Smith
19 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Jehu Chesson
4 REC, 58 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.37

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the Mich 49

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 47

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Cook pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler O'Connor punt for 26 yds, downed at the Mich 27

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jake Butt) to the Mich 22

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 22

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 22

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Rudock sacked by Riley Bullough and Demetrius Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 18

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 80 yds, downed at the MchSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 14 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 21

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 13 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Delton Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.80

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 19 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Delton Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Williams, Delton rush for no gain to the MICHIGAN39, PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul (McGowan, Benny) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 3 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 18Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jabrill Peppers) to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Aaron Burbridge run for 9 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Damion Terry run for 2 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Paul Lang, broken up by Chris Wormley

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.31

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.38

Sione Houma run for 27 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.66

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 21 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 11 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the MchSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Sione Houma run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 34

4th & 6Punt-2 yds

Tyler O'Connor punt for 46 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.79

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 19

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Rudock sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 14

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the Mich 45

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.66

Connor Cook run for 6 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Joe Bolden) to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 13 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

LJ Scott run for 11 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 23 yds to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Karan Higdon

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt, broken up by Jon Reschke

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Allen 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.49

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 9 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Delton Williams

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Cook sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 34

4th & 18Punt+34 yds

Tyler O'Connor punt for 41 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 34 yds to the MchSt 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the MchSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Rudock pass complete to Karan Higdon for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the MchSt 14

2nd & 4Penalty-7 yds

Cook, Connor pass complete to Price, Josiah for 13 yards to the MICHIGANST27, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Price, Josiah) 7 yards to the MICHIGANST7, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the MchSt 12

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 25

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Joe Kerridge run for no gain to the Mich 33

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 41 yds , R.J. Shelton returns for 3 yds to the MchSt 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

4th & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler O'Connor run for 7 yds to the MchSt 38

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.23

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jehu Chesson) to the MchSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.77

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jabrill Peppers for 28 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sione Houma run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 13 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.79

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 27 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.20

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 34

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.89

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 32 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the MchSt 32

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Chesson, Jehu, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Reschke, Jon) 12 yards to the MICHIGANST19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 9 yds to the MchSt 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-10 yds

Rudock, Jake pass complete to Darboh, Amara for 4 yards to the MICHIGANST4, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Braden, Ben) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST18, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to De'Veon Smith, broken up by Joel Heath

3rd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 15 yds to the MchSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Kenny Allen 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 18 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 5 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Delton Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Willie Henry) to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Jamal Lyles, broken up by Willie Henry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.68

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Arjen Colquhoun

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.55

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 24 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Joe Kerridge run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jake Rudock sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 9Punt+40 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 37 yds, downed at the MchSt 7 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Malik McDowell) to the MchSt 4

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 4

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the MchSt 11

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 3Punt+16 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 33 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 16 yds to the MchSt 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jehu Chesson run for 1 yd to the MchSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Sione Houma, broken up by Lawrence Thomas

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jabrill Peppers for 7 yds to the MchSt 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.55

Kenny Allen 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+74 ydsPPA +5.14

Connor Cook pass complete to Trevon Pendleton for 74 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

LJ Scott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 21

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 4 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 44 yds , R.J. Shelton returns for 1 yd to the MchSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 28 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Paul Lang, broken up by Delano Hill

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Delton Williams, broken up by Jarrod Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler O'Connor punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

3rd & 9Penalty+6 yds

Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Darboh, Amara (Miller, Grayson), PENALTY MICHIGANST offside (McDowell, Malik) 6 yards to the MICHIGAN27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Rudock for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 48 yds, fair catch by R.J. Shelton at the MchSt 28

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Willie Henry) to the MchSt 33

1st & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Connor Cook sacked by Willie Henry for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.08

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 25 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 7 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.57

Connor Cook sacked by Willie Henry for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 45

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

4th & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr., broken up by Dymonte Thomas

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the MchSt 47

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+38 ydsPPA -1.25

Blake O'Neill run for a loss of 15 yards Blake O'Neill fumbled, recovered by MchSt Jalen Watts-Jackson , return for 38 yds

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
16 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play