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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2015Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Michigan 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 10, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
00000
MichiganMichigan
2173738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-028-031-038-0
MichiganNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORNORMICNORNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICTD00ydPUNT30ydTD759ydMISS1050ydTD675ydPUNT36ydPUNT732ydPUNT820ydPUNT734ydTD41ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT413ydEND2-3ydPUNT417ydFG738ydPUNT524ydPUNT929ydPUNT734ydPUNT1036ydPUNT43ydTD1266ydDOWNS610ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Michigan
StatisticNorthwesternMichigan
Passing15-3317-23
Pass Yards130179
Rush Yards38201
Total Yards168380
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-137-14
Penalties5-393-28
Possession22:5537:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
13/27, 106 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Jackson
12 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Austin Carr
2 REC, 39 YDS
Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
17/23, 179 YDS
rushing
De'Veon Smith
8 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
A.J. Williams
4 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+96 yds

Jehu Chesson 96 Yd Kickoff Return (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones, broken up by Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mich 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 7 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.03

De'Veon Smith run for 18 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.50

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 32 yds to the Nwest 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Jake Rudock sacked by Deonte Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Joe Kerridge run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Drake Johnson 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 19 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Warren Long run for 6 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 5 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Solomon Vault run for 15 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 10 yds to the Mich 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Mich 25

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jack Mitchell 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Drake Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.23

Joe Kerridge run for 34 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 27 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 3 yds to the Nwest 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jake Rudock 2 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

4th & 4Punt+55 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the MICHIGAN 17 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jehu Chesson) to the Mich 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 10 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 13 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 2 yds to the Mich 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Grant Perry, broken up by Matthew Harris

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Nwest 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Clayton Thorson for no gain to the Nwest 20

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Eric Olson) to the Nwest 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 20 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Miles Shuler for 9 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete to Kidd, Garrett, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Park, Ian) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 37

3rd & 20Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Maurice Hurst) to the Nwest 42

3rd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Clayton Thorson sacked by Willie Henry for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 30

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.34

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 13 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Harris for 13 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 26 yds, downed at the Nwest 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the Nwest 18 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Illegal Block (Austin Carr) to the Nwest 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Mike McHugh, broken up by Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown-37 ydsPPA -6.71

Jourdan Lewis 37 Yd Interception Return (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Clayton Thorson sacked by Willie Henry for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 45

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake Rudock run for 13 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh, broken up by Anthony Walker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson, broken up by Nick VanHoose

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 10Punt+52 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 42 yds for a touchback NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Warren Long)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 8

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 7

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Jackson run for 15 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Mike McHugh

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 33

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.74

De'Veon Smith run for 19 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jehu Chesson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Nwest 32

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Rudock sacked by Max Chapman for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 29

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.55

Kenny Allen 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 10 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (James Ross) to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Rudock run for no gain to the Mich 26

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.85

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Karan Higdon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 35 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyle Kalis) declined

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Harris for 12 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Sione Houma run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jake Rudock sacked by Anthony Walker and Deonte Gibson for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Miles Shuler at the Nwest 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jelani Roberts

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 12 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jelani Roberts run for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 11 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Mike McHugh, broken up by Jourdan Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 5 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Derrick Green run for 10 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Derrick Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 6 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Derrick Green run for 9 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Jehu Chesson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 45

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Nwest 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Zack Oliver pass complete to Jelani Roberts for 12 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Zack Oliver sacked by Ryan Glasgow for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 21

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Christian Jones, broken up by Jabrill Peppers

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Cameron Dickerson

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 16 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Derrick Green run for 4 yds to the Nwest 28

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.19

Sione Houma run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Nwest 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Rudock pass complete to Maurice Ways for 10 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Derrick Green run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sione Houma run for 5 yds to the Nwest 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Derrick Green 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt Alviti pass incomplete to Auston Anderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Matt Alviti pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 12 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Matt Alviti sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 28

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Matt Alviti run for no gain to the Nwest 28

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Alviti pass incomplete NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Olson) declined

4th & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Matt Alviti run for 5 yds to the Nwest 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 35

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
31%
13 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play