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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 94%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
0071421
Michigan StateMichigan State
1470324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-021-021-724-1424-21
Michigan StatePurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPURMSPUNT513ydPUNT619ydTO522ydTD327ydPUNT619ydTD894ydTO339ydTD664ydPUNT510ydPUNT34ydTO816ydPUNT637ydEND27ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-12ydTO714ydTD621ydMISS957ydTD380ydFG865ydTD779ydPUNT619ydDOWNS1028ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Michigan State
StatisticPurdueMichigan State
Passing15-3113-19
Pass Yards136139
Rush Yards165267
Total Yards301406
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-135-14
Penalties2-208-51
Possession22:3637:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
David Blough
15/31, 136 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Markell Jones
22 CAR, 157 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
DeAngelo Yancey
4 REC, 68 YDS
Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
13/19, 139 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
LJ Scott
18 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Monty Madaris
2 REC, 47 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

David Blough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Markell Jones run for 15 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 36

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

David Blough pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 32 yds, downed at the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Trevon Pendleton run for no gain to the MchSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 4 yds to the MchSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 9 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Madre London run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Cook pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds, downed at the Prdue 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 10

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 27 David Blough fumbled, recovered by MchSt Joel Heath

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the Prdue 18

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.71

LJ Scott 18 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

David Blough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.66

David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.78

David Blough sacked by Malik McDowell for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 30

2nd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Markell Jones run for 12 yds to the Prdue 42

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds, downed at the MchSt 6

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.69

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Cook pass complete to Paul Lang for 2 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.39

Connor Cook pass complete to Monty Madaris for 34 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.64

LJ Scott run for 22 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

R.J. Shelton run for 11 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Prdue 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the Prdue 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

LJ Scott 1 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 29 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.77

Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the MchSt 36 Markell Jones fumbled, recovered by MchSt Riley Bullough

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

R.J. Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.26

Connor Cook pass complete to Paul Lang for 12 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Connor Cook pass complete to Aj Troup for 14 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Madre London run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Connor Cook pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 13 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

R.J. Shelton 23 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

David Blough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 39

3rd & 5Penalty+7 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

David Blough sacked by Jon Reschke for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

David Blough pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, fair catch by R.J. Shelton at the MchSt 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 11

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 6

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Connor Cook pass complete to LJ Scott for 4 yds to the MchSt 10

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.26

Connor Cook pass complete to Monty Madaris for 13 yds to the MchSt 23

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 18

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 28 yds, downed at the MchSt 46

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the MchSt 37

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

David Blough pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.69

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 2 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.44

David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 35

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 30

4th & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.48

David Blough pass intercepted Demetrious Cox return for no gain to the MchSt 9

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.61

Madre London run for 14 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Madre London run for 1 yd to the MchSt 24

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Madre London run for 13 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Madre London run for 8 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Madre London run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Madre London run for no gain to the MchSt 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 18

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Cook pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trae Hart at the Prdue 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.70

David Blough sacked by Arjen Colquhoun for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 30

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Joe Schopper punt for 63 yds, downed at the MchSt 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Connor Cook run for 7 yds to the MchSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.19

LJ Scott run for 25 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 49

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-28 ydsPPA -0.93

TEAM run for a loss of 28 yards to the MchSt 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Prdue Gelen Robinson

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the MchSt 20

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

David Blough run for 8 yds to the MchSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.06

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the MchSt 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 6 yds to the MchSt 2

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Gregory Phillips 2 Yd pass from David Blough (Paul Griggs Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Madre London run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Connor Cook run for 13 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Madre London run for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Connor Cook run for 22 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Madre London run for 7 yds to the Prdue 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Cook run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 20

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Madre London run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Michael Geiger 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 6 yds to the Prdue 26

2nd & 4Penalty+4 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.24

Markell Jones 68 Yd Run (Paul Griggs Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.38

LJ Scott run for 30 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Madre London run for 18 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Madre London run for 3 yds to the Prdue 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Madre London run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Cook pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.73

Michael Geiger 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.94

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 20 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.66

David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 35 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the MchSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.40

David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 14 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Markell Jones 3 Yd Run (Paul Griggs Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 4 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Connor Cook pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 8 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Cook run for 4 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Connor Cook pass complete to Madre London for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.78

David Blough run for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

David Blough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 4 yds to the Prdue 37

4th & 6Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 6 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

David Blough pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

David Blough pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

David Blough pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 48

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 46

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
57%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
30 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
58%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play