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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Penn State 68%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
777021
Penn StatePenn State
101701037

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-713-1427-1427-2134-2137-21
Penn StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSPSSDSPSSDSPSSDSPSSDSPSSDSPSPSSDSPSSDSPSSDSSDSPSSDSPSSDSSDSPSSDSPSSDSPSSDSPUNT43ydPUNT519ydPUNT31ydTD766ydTD00ydFG753ydPUNT32ydFG772ydTD375ydMISS830ydPUNT32ydPUNT47ydTD427ydTO1-2ydTD623ydEND3-5ydPUNT510ydPUNT31ydTD621ydPUNT39ydPUNT421ydPUNT429ydTD953ydPUNT3-7ydFG852ydPUNT721ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS736ydPUNT31ydEND422yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Penn State
StatisticSan Diego StatePenn State
Passing10-3022-36
Pass Yards141328
Rush Yards10172
Total Yards242400
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-174-15
Penalties4-325-37
Possession25:2634:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Maxwell Smith
10/30, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Donnel Pumphrey
18 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mikah Holder
4 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Penn State
passing
Christian Hackenberg
21/35, 296 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Saquon Barkley
8 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Saeed Blacknall
4 REC, 101 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.48

Maxwell Smith sacked by Garrett Sickels and Anthony Zettel for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 28

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 38 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Akeel Lynch run for 7 yds to the PnSt 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 46

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Akeel Lynch run for 5 yds to the SDSt 49

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Christian Hackenberg run for 3 yds to the SDSt 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 45 yds, downed at the PnSt 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 12 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the PENNST 34 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.09

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 45 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 22

1st & 22Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.28

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 22 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.16

Saquon Barkley run for 34 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 16 yds to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 2 yds to the SDSt 20

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton, broken up by Malik Smith

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.57

Joey Julius 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Lloyd Mills for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey, broken up by Jason Cabinda

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.43

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 46 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.73

Saquon Barkley run for 21 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin, broken up by JJ Whittaker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 3 yds to the SDSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete, broken up by Christian Heyward

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.79

Joey Julius 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.46

Rashaad Penny run for 55 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 25

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the PnSt 19

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 19 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 7 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 14 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 8 yds to the SDSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Price run for 7 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony Zettel

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.50

Maxwell Smith sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 41

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 47 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 10 yds to the PnSt 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the PnSt 22

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (5 Yards) to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the PnSt 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 44 yds , Lloyd Mills returns for no gain to the SDSt 27 Lloyd Mills fumbled, recovered by PnSt Chris Godwin

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 13 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the SDSt 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mark Allen for 13 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.92

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 23 Donnel Pumphrey fumbled, forced by Garrett Sickels, recovered by PnSt Anthony Zettel

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 26

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 8 yds to the SDSt 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin, broken up by Kameron Kelly

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 24

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.39

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 21

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 20

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 5Penalty+7 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (7 Yards) to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Mark Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 37

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Mark Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 34

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 4 yds to the PnSt 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Chase Favreau, broken up by Garrett Sickels

4th & 9Punt-3 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 48 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 21 DeAndre Thompkins fumbled, recovered by SDSt Luke Bussey

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the PnSt 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 12 yds to the PnSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty+6 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (6 Yards) to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the PnSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 2

3rd & 2Penalty+1 yds

PENN ST Penalty, offside defense (1 Yards) to the PnSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 4 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Scott run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Polk run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 27 yds, downed at the SDSt 38

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Donnel Pumphrey run for 18 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Maxwell Smith run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 29 yds, downed at the PnSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.64

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 35 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Scott run for no gain to the PnSt 47

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.98

Christian Hackenberg sacked by Calvin Munson for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Lloyd Mills at the SDSt 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Price run for 1 yd to the SDSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Chase Price for 10 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.84

Chase Price run for 13 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.60

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 31 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Maxwell Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 25 Maxwell Smith fumbled, recovered by SDSt Maxwell Smith

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to David Wells

3rd & 11Sack+71 yds

Maxwell Smith sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 8 yards Maxwell Smith fumbled, recovered by PnSt Austin Johnson , return for 0 yards , return for 71 yds, (Joey Julius KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Jemond Hazely

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Maxwell Smith sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 30

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 31 yds, downed at the PnSt 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mark Allen

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mark Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.21

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mark Allen for 16 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Nick Scott pass complete to Chris Godwin for 32 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Scott run for 4 yds to the SDSt 9

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.77

Joey Julius 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Christian Cumberlander, broken up by Trevor Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.80

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 46

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 30

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the PnSt 20

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 3 yds to the PnSt 23

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the PnSt 29

4th & 11Punt-5 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 50 yds , Lloyd Mills returns for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 20

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 19

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.21

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 30 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Maxwell Smith run for no gain to the SDSt 49

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Scott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Nick Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 49

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Scott run for no gain to the PnSt 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Chris Gulla punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 18 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Chase Favreau

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Maxwell Smith sacked by Antoine White and Tarow Barney for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 32

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 10 yds to the SDSt 42

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
21%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play