Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 16.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 89%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
073010
Michigan StateMichigan State
71001330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-017-717-1030-10
Michigan StateCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSCMMSMISS749ydTD672ydMISS1554ydFG1044ydPUNT39ydTD752ydTD1380ydEND1-1ydPUNT817ydFG963ydPUNT3-16ydDOWNS418ydPUNT525ydPUNT83ydTD661ydTO124ydTD858ydDOWNS83ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Michigan State
StatisticCentral MichiganMichigan State
Passing26-3911-19
Pass Yards285143
Rush Yards55181
Total Yards340324
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-154-8
Penalties9-708-78
Possession31:4528:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Cooper Rush
26/39, 285 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devon Spalding
15 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Jesse Kroll
6 REC, 86 YDS
Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
11/19, 143 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Madre London
15 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.00

Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 42 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 4 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Derek Edwards) to the MchSt 28

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+45 yds

Brian Eavey 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Demetrius Cooper

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.04

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 42 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.25

R.J. Shelton run for 14 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Madre London run for 3 yds to the CMich 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Cook run for 4 yds to the CMich 9

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.65

Madre London run for 3 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Madre London run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 7 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 5 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 12 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Jay Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for no gain to the CMich 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.31

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 16 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.44

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 12 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 1 yd to the MchSt 29

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 10 yds to the MchSt 21

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the MchSt 26

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+43 yds

Brian Eavey 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shilique Calhoun

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 27

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Madre London run for no gain to the MchSt 37

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Madre London run for 11 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the CMich 44

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 7 yds Aaron Burbridge fumbled, forced by Amari Coleman, recovered by MchSt

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Madre London run for 1 yd to the CMich 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.28

Michael Geiger 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds to the CMich 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 18 yds, downed at the MchSt 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the CMich 45

3rd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.01

LJ Scott run for 29 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the CMich 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Connor Cook pass complete to LJ Scott for 9 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony Rice

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the CMich 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.11

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 14 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.32

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 27 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.66

Cooper Rush sacked by Shilique Calhoun and Damon Knox for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 30

2nd & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Devon Spalding run for 12 yds to the MchSt 18

3rd & 8Penalty+9 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jermaine Edmondson) to the MchSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the MchSt 6

2nd & 6Penalty+4 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jermaine Edmondson) to the MchSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Connor Cook run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Madre London run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the MchSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Madre London run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aj Troup

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Connor Cook run for 1 yd to the MchSt 42

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the CMich 12

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.19

Devon Spalding run for 42 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the MchSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 13 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the MchSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.97

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 17 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the MchSt 16

2nd & 10Sack-23 ydsPPA -4.03

Cooper Rush sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 24 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the MchSt 39

3rd & 33Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 14 yds to the MchSt 25

4th & 19Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.66

Brian Eavey 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josiah Price) to the MchSt 15

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 4 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-10 Yards) to the MchSt 9

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Cook pass incomplete to LJ Scott

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 26Punt-2 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds , Emmitt Thomas returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 45

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Demetrius Cooper) to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Bacci) to the CMich 45

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon Spalding

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the CMich 40

2nd & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 40

3rd & 25Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 23 yds to the MchSt 37

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.20

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony Rice

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 9 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Madre London run for 12 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Madre London run for 1 yd to the CMich 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the CMich 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 15

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Jahray Hayes run for 11 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds to the CMich 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 3 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon Spalding

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the CMich 28

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll

3rd & 20Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 23

3rd & 25Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.05

Cooper Rush sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 11 yards to the CMich 12

4th & 36Punt+49 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 46 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MchSt 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.63

Connor Cook pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 26 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 10 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 17 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+39 ydsPPA -1.48

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 24 yds Jesse Kroll fumbled, recovered by MchSt Riley Bullough MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the MchSt 42

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Madre London run for 12 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Madre London run for 3 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Madre London run for 5 yds to the CMich 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Connor Cook pass complete to Paul Lang for 9 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Madre London run for 4 yds to the CMich 25

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Madre London run for 8 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Gerald Holmes run for 11 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 4 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 2 yds to the CMich 42

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.50

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 4 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (Kenny Rogers) to the CMich 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jahray Hayes

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord

4th & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA +0.17

Cooper Rush sacked by Demetrius Cooper for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 40

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 42

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
14%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
32%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play