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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota
00000
Kansas StateKansas State
7173734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-024-027-034-0
Kansas StateSouth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDTD00ydMISS523ydPUNT39ydMISS822ydTO1074ydPUNT39ydFG719ydPUNT37ydTD545ydPUNT45ydPUNT67ydTD124ydPUNT832ydEND2-3ydPUNT59ydPUNT31ydPUNT616ydFG1146ydDOWNS1372ydTD1079ydDOWNS755ydPUNT35ydEND620yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota and Kansas State
StatisticSouth DakotaKansas State
Passing18-309-18
Pass Yards205147
Rush Yards61189
Total Yards266336
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-185-12
Penalties2-118-70
Possession30:4529:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota
passing
Ryan Saeger
18/30, 205 YDS
rushing
Michael Fredrick
8 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Eric Shufford
6 REC, 79 YDS
Kansas State
passing
Joe Hubener
9/18, 147 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Justin Silmon
6 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Dominique Heath
3 REC, 54 YDS

Play-by-Play

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Ethan Fenchel for 23 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Trevor Bouma run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford

4th & 10Missed Field Goal Return+5 yds

Miles Bergner 55 yd FG MISSED , Dominique Heath return for 5 yds to the KanSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 10

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 12 Charles Jones fumbled, forced by Keyen Lage, recovered by KanSt Cody Small

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds , Eric Shufford returns for 5 yds to the KanSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 10 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trevor Bouma run for no gain to the KanSt 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Saeger run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Ryan Saeger run for 9 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Saeger run for 1 yd to the KanSt 25

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Miles Bergner 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Joe Hubener run for 16 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for no gain to the KanSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.40

Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 35 yds to the SDako 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 24

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the SDako 20 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Kleinsorge) to the SDako 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 11 yds to the SDako 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Glenn Gronkowski run for 11 yds to the SDako 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the SDako 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Winston Dimel run for 6 yds to the SDako 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.55

Joe Hubener run for no gain to the SDako 1 Joe Hubener fumbled, forced by Tyson Graham, recovered by SDako Andrew Van Ginkel

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Saeger run for 3 yds to the SDako 4

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Trevor Bouma run for 6 yds to the SDako 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the SDako 10

4th & 1Punt+31 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 46 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 31 yds to the SDako 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 30

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 31

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.35

Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 17 yds to the SDako 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 6 yds to the SDako 8

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the SDako 6

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Sean Bredl

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.07

Matthew McCrane 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 4 yds to the SDako 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the SDako 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 45

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Justin Silmon run for 18 yds to the SDako 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Justin Silmon run for 12 yds to the SDako 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the SDako 7

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Glenn Gronkowski run for 5 yds to the SDako 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK), (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Drew Potter for 10 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Trevor Bouma run for 1 yd to the SDako 36

2nd & 9Penalty-6 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the SDako 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Nick Meyer

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 55 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 10 yds to the KanSt 40 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Tyson Graham

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 22

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Joe Hubener pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Chris Tyler

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 53 yds , Eric Shufford returns for 2 yds to the SDako 24 Eric Shufford fumbled, forced by Stanton Weber, recovered by KanSt Stanton Weber

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Aaron Ramsey for 5 yds to the SDako 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

M Fredrick run for 4 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 3 yds to the SDako 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.53

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 26 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

M Fredrick run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Drew Potter for 5 yds to the KanSt 28

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 33

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.58

Ryan Saeger sacked by Marquel Bryant for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 5

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford, broken up by Morgan Burns

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.50

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 15 yds to the SDako 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Drew Potter

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Trevor Bouma run for 1 yd to the SDako 33

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Ryan Saeger sacked by Tanner Wood for a loss of 7 yards to the SDako 26

4th & 16Punt+11 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 44 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 11 yds to the KanSt 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Adam Harris

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Shufford at the SDako 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ryan Saeger run for 7 yds to the SDako 20

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Trevor Bouma run for 2 yds to the SDako 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Trevor Bouma run for 3 yds to the SDako 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

M Fredrick run for no gain to the SDako 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Josh Hale for 4 yds to the SDako 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Brandt Van Roekel

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Miles Bergner punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Joe Hubener run for 9 yds to the SDako 48

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the SDako 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the SDako 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the SDako 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the SDako 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the SDako 22

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the SDako 16

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SDako 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Michael Lilly

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.81

Matthew McCrane 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Gunn run for 2 yds to the SDako 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Trevor Bouma for 7 yds to the SDako 16

3rd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.99

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 23 yds to the SDako 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Gunn run for 4 yds to the SDako 43

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.67

Shamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 43 Shamar Jackson fumbled, recovered by SDako Ryan Saeger

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.41

Ryan Saeger run for 9 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 6 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the KanSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Brandt Van Roekel for 17 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Trevor Bouma run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Aaron Ramsey

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Trevor Bouma

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.12

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Eric Shufford SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.77

Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 43 yds to the SDako 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the SDako 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Winston Dimel run for 3 yds to the SDako 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the SDako 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the SDako 17

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Winston Dimel run for 8 yds to the SDako 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Winston Dimel run for 2 yds to the SDako 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Winston Dimel run for 6 yds to the SDako 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Saeger,Ryan pass incomplete to Shufford,Eric, PENALTY KS pass interference (Adams, Kendall) 15 yards to the USD37, 1ST DOWN USD, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 20 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Riley Donovan for 5 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

M Fredrick run for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Gunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Eric Shufford for 11 yds to the KanSt 23

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Ryan Saeger run for no gain to the KanSt 23

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.48

Nate Gunn run for no gain to the KanSt 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 19

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 24

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 24

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eric Shufford at the SDako 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ryan Saeger pass incomplete to Danny Rambo, broken up by Jesse Mack

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

M Fredrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 27 SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.17

Ryan Saeger pass complete to Ben Kramer for 11 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

M Fredrick run for 3 yds to the SDako 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nate Gunn run for 5 yds to the SDako 46

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Nate Gunn run for 2 yds to the SDako 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
64%
22 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
71%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play