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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 29%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
14714742
Oregon StateOregon State
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1414-2117-2117-2817-3524-42
Oregon StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSTD963ydPUNT39ydTO31ydTD1058ydTD372ydTD876ydPUNT824ydPUNT36ydTD970ydFG1269ydEND1-1ydTO2-10ydMISS4-2ydPUNT627ydTD781ydPUNT32ydTD555ydPUNT33ydTO244ydTD879ydTD165ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT528ydPUNT834ydEND730yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Oregon State
StatisticStanfordOregon State
Passing9-1420-36
Pass Yards163275
Rush Yards325111
Total Yards488386
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-127-16
Penalties4-256-65
Possession34:3525:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Kevin Hogan
9/14, 163 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Christian McCaffrey
30 CAR, 206 YDS
receiving
Michael Rector
2 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
Oregon State
passing
Seth Collins
20/36, 275 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Storm Barrs-Woods
12 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jordan Villamin
7 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Christian McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Hogan, Kevin pass incomplete to Rector, Michael, PENALTY OREGONST pass interference (Decoud, Treston) 10 yards to the OREGONST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the OrgSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 12 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Remound Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30

4th & 1Punt+25 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, downed at the OREGONST 30 OREGON ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Stanf 45

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 6 yds to the Stanf 46

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Cyril Noland-Lewis return for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Bolden run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Storm Woods run for 9 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 12 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Victor Bolden run for 9 yds to the Stanf 19

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.45

Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Storm Woods run for 1 yd to the Stanf 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.81

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 7 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Seth Collins 1 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Stanf 36

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.59

Christian McCaffrey run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 42 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Victor Bolden run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.32

Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 36 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Victor Bolden run for 8 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Ryan Nall run for 9 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ryan Nall run for 9 yds to the Stanf 5

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Ryan Nall run for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Stanf 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Seth Collins run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Seth Collins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 29 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Stanf 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 37

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 37

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Hogan, Kevin pass complete to Jordan, Dontonio for 7 yards to the STANFORD44, PENALTY OREGONST holding 10 yards to the STANFORD47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.47

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 38 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Remound Wright run for no gain to the OrgSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Remound Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Collins run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.90

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 29 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the Stanf 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Seth Collins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 37

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Seth Collins pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 23 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Victor Bolden run for 8 yds to the Stanf 6

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Seth Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Seth Collins pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Garrett Owens 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 11Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.34

Seth Collins run for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 9 Seth Collins fumbled, recovered by Stanf

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 7

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Conrad Ukropina 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Seth Collins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 16 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Seth Collins run for no gain to the OrgSt 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 34 yds, downed at the Stanf 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Barry Sanders run for 7 yds to the Stanf 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the Stanf 28

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 4 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 9 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.90

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 49 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Seth Collins run for no gain to the OrgSt 26

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

4th & 8Punt+27 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, downed at the OREGONST 30 OREGON ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ryan Navarro) to the Stanf 45

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noke Tago) to the 50 yard line

1st & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.21

Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Christian McCaffrey run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Christian McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Barry Sanders run for 11 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Victor Bolden run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 35

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+33 ydsPPA -2.82

Christian McCaffrey run for 33 yds to the OrgSt 21 Christian McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Manase Hungalu

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Storm Woods run for no gain to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 11 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 8 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Collins run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.70

Seth Collins pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 40 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Barry Sanders run for 65 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Storm Woods run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Storm Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 34

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 22 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 12 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 4 yds to the Stanf 43

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Mitchell) to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin, broken up by Ronnie Harris

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Christian McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Barry Sanders run for 8 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Barry Sanders run for 5 yds to the Stanf 45

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Barry Sanders run for no gain to the Stanf 45

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 49 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 10 yds to the OrgSt 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds to the OrgSt 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Seth Collins pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 11 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 23 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Seth Collins sacked by Mike Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Seth Collins pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
64%
28 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play