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← Back to GamesSep 20, 2015Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 60%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 20, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
7140021
Oregon StateOregon State
7721035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1414-2121-2135-21
Oregon StateSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSOSSJSOSSJSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSSJSOSTD1075ydTD1065ydPUNT733ydPUNT30ydTO35ydTD16ydPUNT425ydPUNT36ydTD469ydPUNT58ydTO10ydTD726ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydMISS844ydEND1-1ydPUNT421ydPUNT521ydTD688ydTO4-11ydTD215ydTD34ydPUNT39ydMISS1562ydTO222ydPUNT521ydDOWNS940ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydEND55yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Oregon State
StatisticSan José StateOregon State
Passing20-3313-25
Pass Yards149135
Rush Yards104303
Total Yards253438
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-135-14
Penalties2-204-35
Possession33:0826:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Kenny Potter
8/9, 72 YDS
rushing
Tyler Ervin
21 CAR, 93 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Billy Freeman
5 REC, 52 YDS
Oregon State
passing
Seth Collins
13/25, 135 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Storm Barrs-Woods
17 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Villamin
3 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kenny Potter run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 13 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tim Crawley run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.31

Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 21 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds to the OrgSt 14

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler Ervin run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyler Ervin 4 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 2 yds to the OrgSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Seth Collins run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 11 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 15 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Storm Woods run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Seth Collins run for 10 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Noah Togiai

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Seth Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 20

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 16 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Seth Collins 4 Yd Run (Garrett Owens Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 7 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarrod Lawson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 35

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SJSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarrod Lawson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 5 yds to the SJSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Storm Woods run for no gain to the OrgSt 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Xavier Hawkins

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 50 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for 2 yds to the SJSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 7 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the SJSt 39

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Kenny Potter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 37

4th & 5Punt-2 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 6 Rahmel Dockery fumbled, recovered by SJSt Shane Smith

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyler Ervin 6 Yd Run (Austin Lopez Kick)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Victor Bolden run for 18 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Chris Brown run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the SJSt 49

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Chris Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Shane Smith

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

4th & 4Punt+12 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 54 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 12 yds to the OrgSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 20 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.16

Seth Collins run for 30 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the SJSt 13

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.42

Storm Woods run for 13 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarrod Lawson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Hansell Wilson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 46

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.06

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 43

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.25

Joe Gray sacked by Kyle Peko for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 19

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Collins pass intercepted Cleveland Wallace III return for no gain to the OrgSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 17

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the OrgSt 17

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.64

Chris Dadson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Victor Bolden run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 51 yds, downed at the SJSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tim Crawley

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 25

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jarrod Lawson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30

4th & 2Punt+18 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 62 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 18 yds to the OrgSt 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Seth Collins run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 10 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 10 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 4 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Garrett Owens 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Seth Collins run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 53 yds, downed at the SJSt 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 2

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyler Ervin run for 12 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 18

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 66 yds, downed at the OrgSt 12

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.89

Storm Woods run for 38 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the SJSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Storm Woods run for 10 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the SJSt 31

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.33

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 31 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Gray pass complete to Jarrod Lawson for 1 yd to the SJSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 6 yds to the SJSt 33

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the SJSt 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSt Michael Carrizosa

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Seth Collins run for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarrod Lawson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-41 ydsPPA -7.51

Caleb Saulo 41 Yd Interception Return for a TD (Garrett Owens Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Malik Watson pass complete to Billy Freeman for 6 yds to the SJSt 25

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 20

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Malik Watson pass complete to Tim Crawley for 2 yds to the SJSt 28

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 60 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 4 yds to the OrgSt 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Storm Woods run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.18

Seth Collins pass complete to Xavier Hawkins for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Storm Woods run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 35 OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the OrgSt 25

1st & 12Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.23

Seth Collins run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Victor Bolden run for 6 yds to the SJSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Seth Collins pass complete to Noah Togiai for 4 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Storm Woods run for 11 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Storm Woods run for 9 yds to the SJSt 23

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 21

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the SJSt 15

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Seth Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 17

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 22

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Garrett Owens 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.90

Malik Watson pass complete to Tyler Winston for 22 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.63

Malik Watson pass intercepted Ricky Ortiz return for no gain to the OrgSt 40

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Storm Woods run for 21 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Storm Woods run for 19 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Xavier Hawkins

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.06

Seth Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

4th & 14Penalty-15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 39

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Malik Watson pass complete to Billy Freeman for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Watson pass complete to Tyler Winston for 3 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Malik Watson pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 8 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler Ervin run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Malik Watson pass incomplete to Tim Crawley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Malik Watson pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 3 yds to the OrgSt 43

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Watson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 40

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Malik Watson pass incomplete to Tyler Ervin

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Storm Woods run for no gain to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Storm Woods run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 41

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Victor Bolden run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Malik Watson pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 2 yds to the SJSt 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Malik Watson pass incomplete to Tim Crawley

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Watson pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Deltron Sands run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 40

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 38

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
48%
27 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
54%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th