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← Back to GamesSep 13, 2015Week 2
UCFUCF
7
-Final
31
StanfordStanford

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Stanford 66%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 13, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
00077
StanfordStanford
01071431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-017-024-031-031-7
StanfordUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAUCFSTAPUNT3-4ydPUNT32ydPUNT1051ydPUNT35ydPUNT410ydDOWNS834ydPUNT1027ydTO1360ydTD464ydPUNT33ydFG932ydEND21ydPUNT515ydPUNT848ydPUNT521ydTD880ydTO1-10ydDOWNS49ydPUNT532ydTD383ydDOWNS1321ydTD760ydTD456ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Stanford
StatisticUCFStanford
Passing14-3618-30
Pass Yards142361
Rush Yards39130
Total Yards181491
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-146-15
Penalties2-1912-137
Possession24:2535:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Tyler Harris
7/15, 96 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Taj McGowan
20 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Jordan Akins
5 REC, 48 YDS
Stanford
passing
Kevin Hogan
17/29, 341 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Christian McCaffrey
20 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Bryce Love
2 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Rector run for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 16

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 18

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Holman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 17

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Remound Wright run for 10 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Christian McCaffrey run for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 15 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PENALTY STAN holding (Wright,R) 10 yards to the STAN45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.21

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 21 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 31

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 33

2nd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.43

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 15 yds to the UCF 18

3rd & 2Penalty-15 yds

Hogan,K rush for 8 yards to the UCF10 (SPENCER, D.), PENALTY STAN illegal block (Garnett,J) 15 yards to the UCF33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste, broken up by Shaquill Griffin

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 33 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the UCF 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+16 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 56 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 16 yds to the Stanf 41 STANFORD Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Stanf 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Barry Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 24

2nd & 11Penalty+9 yds

Hogan,K pass incomplete to Cajuste,D (BURKETT, C.), PENALTY UCF pass interference (BURKETT, C.) 9 yards to the STAN33, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Schneider run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 34

3rd & 7Penalty+11 yds

SCHNEIDER, Bo pass incomplete to AKINS, Jordan, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Lloyd,D) 11 yards to the UCF45, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Taj McGowan run for 9 yds to the Stanf 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.03

Bo Schneider pass complete to Taj McGowan for a loss of 5 yards to the STANFORD 49 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.51

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 6 yds to the UCF 44

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon Cajuste

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.10

Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 45

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the UCF 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector, broken up by Shaquill Griffin

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 34 yds, downed at the UCF 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 5 yds to the UCF 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Akins for 6 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Taj McGowan run for 9 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Bo Schneider pass complete to Chris Johnson for 7 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UCF 35

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

SCHNEIDER, Bo pass complete to STANBACK, W. for no gain to the UCF35 (Perez,J), PENALTY STAN personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UCF holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.83

Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Akins for 8 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Blake Martinez UCF Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.79

Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Akins for 14 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.36

William Stanback run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36 William Stanback fumbled, forced by Dallas Lloyd, recovered by Stanf Brennan Scarlett

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 53 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 65Penalty-15 yds

STANFORD Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Michael Rector) to the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

William Stanback run for 3 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to William Stanback

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Blake Martinez

4th & 7Punt+16 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 50 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 16 yds to the Stanf 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Remound Wright run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 6 yds to the Stanf 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.03

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 9 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 6 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 6 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Trenton Irwin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 4 yds to the UCF 35

4th & 6Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA +1.13

Conrad Ukropina 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Bo Schneider run for 1 yd to the UCF 2

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Bo Schneider run for no gain to the UCF 2

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Taj McGowan run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Taj McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 49

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 49 yds, downed at the Stanf 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 12 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.82

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 25 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Akins at the UCF 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the UCF 15

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Patti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 14

3rd & 6Penalty+13 yds

SCHNEIDER, Bo pass incomplete to SMITH, Tre'Quan, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Holder,A) 13 yards to the UCF27, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Nick Patti

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 42 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the UCF 34

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 11 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 7 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MCGOWAN, Taj rush for 8 yards to the UCF30 (Martinez,B), PENALTY UCF holding (COOK, Tarik) 10 yards to the UCF12, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Schneider pass intercepted Blake Martinez return for 10 yds to the UCF 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the UCF 7

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the UCF 6

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the UCF 4

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -4.06

Kevin Hogan run for 2 yds to the UCF 2

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SCHNEIDER, Bo pass incomplete to SMITH, Tre'Quan, QB hurry by Alfieri,J, PENALTY STAN pass interference (Murphy,A) 15 yards to the UCF17, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UCF 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 11 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Nick Patti

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 17

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

McCaffrey,C rush for 10 yards to the STAN27 (MUTCHERSON, TJ), PENALTY STAN holding (Cajuste,D) 8 yards to the STAN9, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Barry Sanders run for 4 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Barry Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 12

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 7

3rd & 20Passing Touchdown+93 ydsPPA +7.38

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 93 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Harris pass complete to Jordan Akins for 4 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Tyler Harris pass complete to Nick Patti for 8 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Chris Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Ronnie Harris

4th & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.73

Tyler Harris pass complete to Jordan Akins for 16 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Jordan Perez

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Ronnie Harris

3rd & 10Sack+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Harris sacked by Solomon Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Solomon Thomas) to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Alijah Holder

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-22 ydsPPA -3.88

Tyler Harris sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 22 yards to the UCF 39 Tyler Harris fumbled, recovered by UCF Aaron Evans , return for 0 yards

3rd & 42Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.54

Tyler Harris pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 21 yds to the Stanf 40

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Barry Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.53

Barry Sanders run for 15 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Burns run for 3 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the UCF 40

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Barry Sanders run for no gain to the UCF 40

4th & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Keller Chryst pass complete to Rollins Stallworth for 20 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Barry Sanders run for 20 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Harris pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 3 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Harris pass incomplete to Jordan Akins, broken up by Ben Edwards

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Tyler Harris pass complete to Tristan Payton for 17 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Tyler Harris pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 41

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 42

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
15%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
56%
9 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays