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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2015Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 12, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
70007
MichiganMichigan
31431535

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-710-720-728-735-7
MichiganOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICTD779ydTO319ydTO25ydFG841ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS850ydPUNT36ydPUNT831ydTD1233ydTO8-17ydTD33ydEND1-3ydFG1278ydPUNT425ydPUNT841ydPUNT3-13ydTD539ydPUNT32ydTO39ydPUNT3-8ydTD1473ydPUNT33ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Michigan
StatisticOregon StateMichigan
Passing9-2018-26
Pass Yards79180
Rush Yards59225
Total Yards138405
Turnovers12
3rd Down1-116-13
Penalties8-6210-105
Possession21:5938:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Seth Collins
9/16, 79 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Brown
7 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Jordan Villamin
3 REC, 26 YDS
Michigan
passing
Jake Rudock
18/26, 180 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
De'Veon Smith
23 CAR, 126 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Amara Darboh
4 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.79

Chris Brown run for 26 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Seth Collins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.24

Victor Bolden run for 21 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 12 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Collins sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 21

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.19

Seth Collins pass complete to Hunter Jarmon for 21 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.54

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-17 ydsPPA -2.64

Jake Rudock sacked by Rommel Mageo for a loss of 17 yards to the Mich 24 Jake Rudock fumbled, recovered by OrgSt

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Bolden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.88

Victor Bolden run for 5 yds to the Mich 37 Victor Bolden fumbled, recovered by Mich Joe Bolden , return for 18 yds to the Mich 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 22 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 32

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Graham Glasgow) to the OrgSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Harris for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 22

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Drake Harris

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -0.05

Kenny Allen 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Brown run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chris Brown run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brian Cole at the Mich 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Rudock pass complete to Joe Kerridge for 3 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Rudock, Jake rush for 6 yards to the MICHIGAN41, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Poggi, Henry) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 4 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Brown run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Seth Collins sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.65

Seth Collins run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Collins, Seth pass incomplete to Villamin, Jordan, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Peppers, Jabrill) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGONST.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Brown run for no gain to the Mich 37

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Deltron Sands run for 4 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -2.07

Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 5 yds to the Mich 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Joe Kerridge run for 3 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Drake Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake Butt

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 46 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 3 yds to the OrgSt 37 OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Seth Collins run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris Brown run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.85

Seth Collins pass complete to Caleb Smith for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chris Brown run for no gain to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Chris Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 44

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 43 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 3 yds to the Mich 47 OREGON ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Paul Lucas) to the Mich 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Rudock run for 7 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 9 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 4 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

De'Veon Smith run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 5Penalty-21 yds

Rudock, Jake pass complete to Butt, Jake for 6 yards to the OREGONST22, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Chesson, Jehu) 21 yards to the OREGONST43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 15 yds to the OrgSt 28

4th & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 20 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-25 ydsPPA -3.65

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 3

2nd & 3Penalty+2 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the OrgSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 16 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Victor Bolden run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor Bolden

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Jeremy Clark) to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Seth Collins run for 8 yds to the Mich 38

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Seth Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 39

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 44

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 49

4th & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-48 ydsPPA -0.19

TEAM run for a loss of 48 yards to the OrgSt 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Nick Porebski

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Joe Kerridge run for no gain to the OrgSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.24

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 12 De'Veon Smith fumbled, forced by Titus Failauga, recovered by Mich Jake Butt , return for 2 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 10 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 22 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Jake Rudock pass complete to Ty Isaac for 9 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Rudock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.99

De'Veon Smith run for 19 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 6

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Graham Glasgow) to the OrgSt 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenny Allen 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.03

Storm Woods run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Caleb Smith

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Seth Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Rudock run for 5 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 14 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jehu Chesson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake O'Neill punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Victor Bolden run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 16

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Dustin Stanton) to the OrgSt 11

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus McMaryion sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 2

4th & 23Punt+5 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.77

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 20 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Drake Harris) to the OrgSt 35

1st & 18Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Rudock pass complete to Ian Bunting for 21 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 8

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.37

De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Rudock pass to De'Veon Smith for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Storm Woods

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 1 yd to the Mich 43

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Sione Houma run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 49

1st & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.55

Jake Rudock pass intercepted Rommel Mageo return for no gain to the OrgSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Collins pass complete to Chris Brown for no gain to the OrgSt 46

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.99

Seth Collins sacked by Desmond Morgan for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 38

4th & 18Punt+6 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 6 yds to the Mich 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Derrick Green run for 12 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Derrick Green run for 7 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Jake Rudock pass complete to Ian Bunting for 12 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 22

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Sione Houma run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Ty Isaac run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Derrick Green run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus McMaryion run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Deltron Sands run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus McMaryion run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Daniel Rodriguez) to the OrgSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ross Taylor-Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 42

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
36%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play