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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2015Week 10
VirginiaVirginia
21
-Final
27
MiamiMiami
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Miami 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 7, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
087621
MiamiMiami
01431027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-514-817-1524-1827-1827-21
MiamiVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAPUNT629ydPUNT430ydPUNT942ydTD1695ydPUNT618ydSAF1-8ydFG1266ydTD375ydPUNT3-5ydTO10ydFG640ydUncategorized00ydPUNT622ydTO30ydMISS620ydTD680ydFG664ydPUNT520ydTD779ydFG1256ydFG1158ydFG1045ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Miami
StatisticVirginiaMiami
Passing29-4220-26
Pass Yards280286
Rush Yards127143
Total Yards407429
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-138-13
Penalties8-807-52
Possession33:0926:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Matt Johns
29/42, 280 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Taquan Mizzell
18 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Canaan Severin
5 REC, 70 YDS
Miami
passing
Brad Kaaya
20/26, 286 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joseph Yearby
17 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Stacy Coley
7 REC, 132 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Jay Whitmire) to the Virg 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 21

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Matt Johns run for 4 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 28 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Matt Johns sacked by Tyriq McCord for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 37 yds, downed at the MiaFl 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.26

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 33 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joseph Yearby run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 4 yds to the MiaFl 49

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Brad Kaaya) to the MiaFl 44

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 39

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete, broken up by Darious Latimore

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 50 yds, downed at the Virg 11

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 15 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the Virg 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matt Johns pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Taquan Mizzell run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Albert Reid run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the MiaFl 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Charlie Hopkins

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 42 yds, downed at the MiaFl 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 7

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Herb Waters, PENALTY VA OFF (Corney, T) 5 yards to the UM12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 13

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.55

Joseph Yearby run for 20 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn Scott

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.05

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 17 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 5 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.82

Joseph Yearby run for 15 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 7 yds to the Virg 21

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy Coley

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, PENALTY VA OFF 5 yards to the VA16, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mark Walton run for 7 yds to the Virg 9

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.73

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 4 yds to the Virg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 1 yd to the Virg 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mark Walton run for no gain to the Virg 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 29 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 16 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Charlie Hopkins

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 44 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 3 yds to the MiaFl 46 MIAMI FL Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the MiaFl 8

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.15

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.20

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 19 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 8 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

Mizzell, T rush for 7 yards to the UM36 (Tracy Howard;Juwon Young), PENALTY VA illegal block (Whitmire, J) 15 yards to the VA42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.28

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 19 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt Johns run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Johns pass complete to Charlie Hopkins for 4 yds to the MiaFl 22

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Ufomba Kamalu) to the MiaFl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Albert Reid, broken up by Al-Quadin Muhammad

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the MiaFl 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 1 yd to the MiaFl 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Ian Frye 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 11 yds to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 67 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Matt Johns sacked by Trent Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 18

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 13

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Albert Reid run for 1 yd to the Virg 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 6 yds to the Virg 20

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 40 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -2.44

Brad Kaaya pass intercepted Darious Latimore return for 8 yds to the 50 yard line VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (David Dean) to the Virg 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Johns run for 5 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.99

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 18 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Johns, M pass incomplete to Severin, C, PENALTY UM pass interference (Deon Bush) 15 yards to the UM31, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Evan Butts, broken up by Jermaine Grace

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for no gain to the MiaFl 31

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.22

Ian Frye 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Trevor Darling) to the MiaFl 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Standish Dobard for 6 yds to the MiaFl 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.69

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 18 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the Virg 46

2nd & 5Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.57

Joseph Yearby run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Joseph Yearby for no gain to the MiaFl 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Olamide Zaccheaus at the Virg 18

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the Virg 18

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.23

Matt Johns pass intercepted Jaquan Johnson return for no gain to the Virg 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Joseph Yearby run for 10 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Joseph Yearby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 26

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Brad Kaaya run for 9 yds to the Virg 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy Coley

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Michael Badgley 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 25 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.50

Taquan Mizzell run for 27 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 16

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 13 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Mark Walton run for 26 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.16

Mark Walton run for 15 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Quin Blanding) to the Virg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 5 yds to the Virg 14

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Mark Walton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 5 yds to the Virg 11

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.94

Michael Badgley 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Taquan Mizzell run for 12 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.97

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mark Walton run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.56

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 58 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mark Walton run for 6 yds to the Virg 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mark Walton run for no gain to the Virg 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mark Walton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 18 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Taquan Mizzell run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 18 yds to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 7 yds to the MiaFl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the MiaFl 4

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Johns, M pass complete to Severin, C for 4 yards to the UM0, clock 07:21, PENALTY VA pass interference (Hopkins, C) 15 yards to the UM19, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Evan Butts, broken up by Deon Bush

4th & 0Field Goal Good+36 yds

Ian Frye 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Standish Dobard for 13 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Joseph Yearby run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.38

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 23 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Joseph Yearby run for 10 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Joseph Yearby run for 7 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.07

Herb Waters run for 10 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Brad Kaaya run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 18 Brad Kaaya fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Joseph Yearby

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the Virg 18

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Herb Waters) to the Virg 23

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the Virg 22

4th & 18Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +1.26

Michael Badgley 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 9 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 1 yd to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.67

Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 11 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 17 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt Johns pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 8 yds to the MiaFl 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.28

Ian Frye 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 44

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
88%
8 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play