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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 12.6

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 83%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 17, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
770014
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
02971450

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-722-1429-1436-1450-14
North CarolinaWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFNCWFTO432ydMISS932ydTO21ydTD530ydPUNT39ydPUNT620ydTD475ydTO19ydTD534ydPUNT36ydTD265ydTD1275ydTD576ydPUNT39ydPUNT48ydMISS453ydPUNT913ydPUNT50ydDOWNS850ydTD777ydPUNT38ydTD275ydDOWNS4-13ydTD312ydPUNT515ydDOWNS1369ydEND33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and North Carolina
StatisticWake ForestNorth Carolina
Passing20-3018-26
Pass Yards197326
Rush Yards113212
Total Yards310538
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-185-10
Penalties3-246-44
Possession37:0422:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
John Wolford
16/22, 176 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyler Bell
13 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Cam Serigne
6 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
North Carolina
passing
Marquise Williams
14/20, 282 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Hood
8 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mack Hollins
3 REC, 103 YDS, 3 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Hood run for 8 yds to the NCaro 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Marquise Williams pass complete to Elijah Hood for 13 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Elijah Hood run for 11 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -2.90

Marquise Williams pass intercepted Brad Watson return for 12 yds to the WFrst 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Tyler Bell run for 11 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

John Wolford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

John Wolford run for 4 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

John Wolford pass incomplete, broken up by Des Lawrence

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Mike Weaver 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 30

2nd & 9Uncategorized+7 yds

Demetrius Kemp return for 7 yds to the NCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the NCaro 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.92

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 21 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Marquise Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 11 yds to the NCaro 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Bell run for no gain to the WFrst 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.57

John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 19 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Bell run for no gain to the WFrst 43

2nd & 10Penalty-14 yds

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 2 yards to the WF45 (Des Lawrence), PENALTY WF pass interference (Cortez Lewis) 14 yards to the WF29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 30

3rd & 23Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Kendall Hinton run for 11 yds to the WFrst 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 14 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 57 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.92

John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 9 yds Tyler Bell fumbled, forced by Shakeel Rashad, recovered by NCaro Jeff Schoettmer

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 3 yds to the WFrst 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 6 yds to the WFrst 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the WFrst 25

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Marquise Williams run for 12 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Marquise Williams run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

John Wolford pass incomplete, broken up by Brian Walker

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 35 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 1 yd to the NCaro 35

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Elijah Hood run for 29 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Elijah Hood run for 36 yds for a TD, (Joey Mangili pass to Brandon Fritts for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 26 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the NCaro 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the NCaro 27

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

John Wolford run for 2 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

John Wolford run for 8 yds to the NCaro 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.56

Marquise Williams pass complete to Austin Proehl for 61 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 7 yds to the WFrst 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 2 yds to the WFrst 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 22

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Hood run for 13 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 39

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.77

Marquise Williams sacked by Josh Banks for a loss of 9 yards to the NCaro 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 56 yds, downed at the WFrst 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 20

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

John Wolford run for 15 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.34

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 32 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Mike Weaver 51 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 20

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 12 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 4 yds to the WFrst 42

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

John Wolford sacked by Junior Gnonkonde for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 7 yds to the WFrst 49

3rd & 8Sack-21 ydsPPA -1.54

John Wolford sacked by Junior Gnonkonde for a loss of 21 yards to the WFrst 28

4th & 29Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Teddy Matthews) to the WFrst 23

4th & 34Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (Mack Hollins) to the WFrst 28

4th & 29Punt+48 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the UNC 29 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (Ryan Switzer) to the NCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Marquise Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Marquise Williams pass complete to Elijah Hood for 6 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (John Ferranto) to the NCaro 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.57

Marquise Williams sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 11 yards to the NCaro 24

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 49 yds, downed at the WFrst 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 31

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Tyler Bell run for 9 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

John Wolford pass incomplete, PENALTY NC personal foul (Jeff Schoettmer) 14 yards to the NC46, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the NCaro 42

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Kendall Hinton run for 12 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the NCaro 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 4 yds to the NCaro 23

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.27

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 12 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 7 yds to the NCaro 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 13 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.84

Marquise Williams run for 33 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Caleb Peterson) to the WFrst 15

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

T.J. Logan run for 11 yds to the WFrst 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 4 yds for a TD WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the WFrst 27

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the WFrst 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 31

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Marquise Williams pass complete to Austin Proehl for 33 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Mack Hollins 42 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick)

4th & 9Rush-14 ydsPPA +0.26

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the WFrst 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tyler Bell for 1 yd to the WFrst 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

T.J. Logan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete, broken up by Brad Watson

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.99

Mitch Trubisky run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 12 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Malik Simmons

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds, downed at the NCaro 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Brandon Fritts

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Mitch Trubisky run for 2 yds to the NCaro 5

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Damien Washington for 9 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 17

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.45

T.J. Logan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 13

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to T.J. Logan for 18 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Khris Francis run for 4 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Damien Washington for 12 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Khris Francis run for 16 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Khris Francis run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Khris Francis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 5 yds to the WFrst 29

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.93

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the WFrst 29

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
28 plays
2nd
36%
11 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays