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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2015Week 6
DukeDuke
44
-Final
3
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 8

Home Win Probability

Army 27%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 10, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
101731444
ArmyArmy
00303

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-170-240-273-273-303-373-44
ArmyDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKARMDUKFG1153ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydTO1013ydTD417ydTO77ydTD832ydPUNT37ydTD772ydPUNT36ydFG1558ydEND19ydFG1370ydFG1156ydTO758ydTD1083ydTO3-4ydTD330ydPUNT615ydEND945yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Army
StatisticDukeArmy
Passing20-302-6
Pass Yards24355
Rush Yards215113
Total Yards458168
Turnovers03
3rd Down11-163-14
Penalties5-505-32
Possession30:3029:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Thomas Sirk
17/27, 197 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jela Duncan
8 CAR, 78 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Johnell Barnes
2 REC, 58 YDS
Army
passing
Ahmad Bradshaw
2/6, 55 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Drue Harris
4 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Kelvin White
1 REC, 37 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Duke 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 10 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.24

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 19 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 32

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Thomas Sirk run for 3 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 7 yds to the Army 22

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -0.14

Ross Martin 40 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Ross Martin kickoff for 65 yds , Marcus Hyatt return for 1 yd to the Army 8 Marcus Hyatt fumbled, recovered by Army Marcus Hyatt , return for 7 yds to the Army 8

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

A.J. Schurr sacked by Tinashe Bere for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 2

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

A.J. Schurr run for 5 yds to the Army 7

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Giachinta run for 1 yd to the Army 8

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Tardieu punt for 43 yds , Ryan Smith returns for no gain to the Duke 49

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 47

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Shaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the Army 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to David Reeves

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nicholas Black at the Army 4

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-2 Yards) to the Army 2

1st & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

A.J. Schurr run for 8 yds to the Army 10

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Aaron Kemper run for 5 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

A.J. Schurr run for 4 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

A.J. Schurr run for no gain to the Army 19

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

A.J. Schurr run for 5 yds to the Army 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

A.J. Schurr run for 2 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

A.J. Schurr run for 4 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

A.J. Schurr run for 5 yds to the Army 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

A.J. Schurr run for no gain to the Army 35

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.24

Joe Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 17 Joe Walker fumbled, forced by Deondre Singleton, recovered by Duke

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the Army 11

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Erich Schneider for 9 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Campbell run for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Campbell run for 6 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -2.04

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 14 yards to the Army 33 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Army

3rd & 24Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA +0.28

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 32 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Duke Ben Humphreys

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jela Duncan run for 5 yds to the Army 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to David Reeves

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 7 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+4 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Army 4

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the Army 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Parker Boehme run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Tardieu punt for 40 yds, downed at the Duke 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jela Duncan for 2 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 25

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the Duke 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 10 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Duke 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 10 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the Army 43

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.16

Jela Duncan run for 43 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Aaron Kemper run for 4 yds to the Army 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 31

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Alex Tardieu punt for 35 yds , Ryan Smith returns for 1 yd to the Duke 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shaquille Powell run for 6 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Parker Boehme run for 2 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 13 yds to the ARMY 41 DUKE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Duke 49

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Army 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Britton Grier run for 1 yd to the Army 21

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Thomas Sirk run for 4 yds to the Army 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Erich Schneider

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the Army 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Erich Schneider

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Ryan Smith

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Shaquille Powell

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Ross Martin 25 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Ross Martin kickoff for 33 yds , Justin Fahn return for 3 yds to the Army 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Joe Walker run for 9 yds to the Army 44

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ross Martin kickoff for 61 yds , Marcus Hyatt return for 21 yds to the Army 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drue Harris run for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Campbell run for 2 yds to the Army 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drue Harris run for 4 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.86

John Trainor run for 16 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.42

Drue Harris run for 22 yds to the Duke 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Duke 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Duke 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Daniel Grochowski 22 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Daniel Grochowski kickoff for 38 yds , Erich Schneider return for 10 yds to the Duke 37

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

DUKE Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the Duke 22

1st & 25Penalty+6 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Duke 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 11 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the Duke 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.77

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 32 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Army 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 11 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Army 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Army 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Anthony Nash

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Ross Martin 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 22

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 29

3rd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.70

Joe Walker run for 32 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.93

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Kelvin White for 37 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Matt Giachinta run for 1 yd to the Duke 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 2

3rd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 yds

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 15 yards to the Duke 17 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Duke Jeremy Cash

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Thomas Sirk run for 4 yds to the Duke 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 3 yds to the Duke 24

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.96

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 38 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Jela Duncan run for 13 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jela Duncan run for 3 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jela Duncan run for 5 yds to the Army 14

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Parker Boehme run for 6 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jela Duncan run for 7 yds to the Army 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jela Duncan 1 Yd Run (Ross Martin Kick)

3rd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Ross Martin kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Hyatt return for 24 yds to the Army 26

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Ahmad Bradshaw

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 22

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.26

Ahmad Bradshaw pass intercepted Corbin McCarthy return for no gain to the Army 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joseph Ajeigbe run for 5 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.85

Parker Boehme pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 20 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Parker Boehme run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)

2nd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Ross Martin kickoff for 63 yds , Marcus Hyatt return for 38 yds to the Army 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

John Trainor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.27

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Darnell Woolfolk for 18 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Joe Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 29

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 12 yards to the Duke 45 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Army Drue Harris Drue Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 45

3rd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Alex Tardieu punt for 33 yds, downed at the Duke 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Joseph Ajeigbe run for 2 yds to the Duke 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Parker Boehme run for 4 yds to the Duke 18

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Parker Boehme run for 8 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Parker Boehme run for 5 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Nicodem Pierre run for 1 yd to the Duke 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.72

Parker Boehme pass complete to Ryan Smith for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker Boehme run for 2 yds to the Army 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nicodem Pierre run for no gain to the Army 48

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nicodem Pierre run for 5 yds to the Army 43

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
88%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play