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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Tech by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia Tech 67%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
014101438
Georgia TechGeorgia Tech
7147331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-721-1728-2428-3131-38
Georgia TechNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTGTGTGTNCGTNCGTNCGTTD1064ydPUNT836ydTD1485ydPUNT321ydTD1368ydTD975ydPUNT3-4ydTD644ydEND1-1ydFG755ydTD443ydTD1175ydDOWNS70ydDOWNS727ydPUNT37ydTO1-7ydTD137ydDOWNS834ydTD559ydFG755ydMISS614ydTO614yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Georgia Tech
StatisticNorth CarolinaGeorgia Tech
Passing15-2612-21
Pass Yards182168
Rush Yards231249
Total Yards413417
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-85-13
Penalties6-424-39
Possession21:1538:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Marquise Williams
13/24, 134 YDS
rushing
Marquise Williams
15 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marquise Williams
1 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
Georgia Tech
passing
Justin Thomas
12/21, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Patrick Skov
15 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Ricky Jeune
3 REC, 42 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isiah Willis run for 6 yds to the GTech 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Clinton Lynch run for 6 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Clinton Lynch run for 12 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the NCaro 31

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin McClellan run for 14 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Clinton Lynch run for 6 yds to the NCaro 11 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the NCaro 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Marquise Williams run for 20 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to TEAM

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.24

Marquise Williams pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 5 yds to the NCaro 46 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.95

Marquise Williams pass complete to Austin Proehl for 26 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the GTech 36

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquise Williams run for 3 yds to the GTech 33

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 43

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Isiah Willis run for 1 yd to the GTech 16 Isiah Willis fumbled, recovered by GTech

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 17

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Patrick Skov run for 9 yds to the GTech 37

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Patrick Skov run for 5 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the GTech 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Austin McClellan run for 9 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Marcus Allen run for 6 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Lynn Griffin run for 6 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the NCaro 14

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Clinton Lynch run for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Adam Gotsis) to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Romar Morris run for 7 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.54

Marquise Williams pass complete to Romar Morris for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 7 yds to the GTech 39

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Isiah Willis run for 8 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Isiah Willis run for no gain to the NCaro 49

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46

4th & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Clinton Lynch run for 8 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.67

Justin Thomas run for 20 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the NCaro 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin McClellan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Thomas run for no gain to the NCaro 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Justin Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Elijah Hood run for 10 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Ryan Switzer pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Elijah Hood run for 10 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 6 yds to the GTech 35

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +0.36

T.J. Logan run for 16 yds to the GTech 19 T.J. Logan fumbled, recovered by NCaro Caleb Peterson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the GTech 15

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Elijah Hood run for 13 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton Lynch

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Marquise Williams pass complete to Romar Morris for 9 yds to the GTech 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.24

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 9 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.99

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 19 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Marquise Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marquise Williams pass complete to Romar Morris for no gain to the NCaro 25

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Marquise Williams run for 13 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.97

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 25 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the GTech 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

4th & 8Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.00

Nick Weiler 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Isiah Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.20

Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 18 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Mikell Lands-Davis run for 9 yds to the NCaro 19

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Marquise Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 27

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Marquise Williams run for 12 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack Hollins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 17 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 6 yds to the GTech 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Marquise Williams pass complete to Austin Proehl for 7 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the GTech 26

2nd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.83

Marquise Williams run for 25 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack Hollins

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Isiah Willis run for 11 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the GTech 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Mikell Lands-Davis run for 8 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 19 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Clinton Lynch run for no gain to the NCaro 34

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the NCaro 28

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 29

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.75

Justin Thomas pass complete to Patrick Skov for 5 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.91

Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 28

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 15 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sam Smiley) to the NCaro 6

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Skov run for 1 yd to the NCaro 5

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Isiah Willis run for 4 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Thomas run for no gain to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Thomas run for no gain to the NCaro 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Elijah Hood run for 6 yds to the NCaro 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 10

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 8

4th & 3Penalty-4 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-4 Yards) to the NCaro 4

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 36

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -3.99

Justin Thomas run for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 37 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by NCaro Junior Gnonkonde , return for 20 yds to the GTech 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Quinshad Davis pass complete to Marquise Williams for 37 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Patrick Skov run for 5 yds to the GTech 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isiah Willis run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Thomas pass complete to Marcus Allen for 6 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 41

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad Stewart

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.79

Marquise Williams run for 27 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Marquise Williams sacked by KeShun Freeman for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 6 yds to the GTech 27

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.25

Marquise Williams run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 8 yds to the GTech 33

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Justin Thomas run for 12 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Justin Thomas pass complete to Isiah Willis for 40 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 20 Mikell Lands-Davis fumbled, recovered by GTech Mikell Lands-Davis

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton Lynch

4th & 15Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.73

Harrison Butker 37 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Marquise Williams run for 9 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the GTech 30

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Marquise Williams sacked by P.J. Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 32

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Mitch Trubisky run for 2 yds to the GTech 30

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Nick Weiler 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Mikell Lands-Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 5 yds to the GTech 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 9 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Thomas pass intercepted M.J. Stewart return for 2 yds to the NCaro 6

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
52%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
32 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
60%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play