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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 5

Home Win Probability

Duke 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
00707
DukeDuke
36009

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407143-06-09-09-7
DukeBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKDUKDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKBCDUKPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT36ydPUNT321ydPUNT34ydFG847ydPUNT616ydFG1465ydDOWNS934ydFG634ydPUNT826ydEND1-1ydPUNT32ydDOWNS614ydPUNT950ydPUNT32ydPUNT49ydPUNT523ydTD380ydPUNT831ydPUNT35ydPUNT829ydMISS849ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS47ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Duke
StatisticBoston CollegeDuke
Passing8-2118-36
Pass Yards141195
Rush Yards16433
Total Yards305228
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-164-17
Penalties6-605-31
Possession31:5028:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Troy Flutie
5/8, 129 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jeff Smith
10 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Thadd Smith
2 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
Duke
passing
Thomas Sirk
18/36, 195 YDS
rushing
Shaquille Powell
14 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
T.J. Rahming
5 REC, 75 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Marcus Outlow run for 9 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the BC 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the BC 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Duke 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Duke 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Duke 23

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (Tanner Stone) to the Duke 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the BC 38

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 37

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BC 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Sherman Alston

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Sirk, T pass incomplete to Nash, A, PENALTY BC pass interference (Yiadom,I) 15 yards to the DU37, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the Duke 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 2 yds to the Duke 43

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Will Monday punt for 49 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 8 yds to the BC 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Troy Flutie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Tyler Rouse

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.64

Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 26 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.83

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Jela Duncan for 18 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the BC 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the BC 13

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 18

4th & 12Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.23

Ross Martin 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the BC 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jeff Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 45 yds, downed at the Duke 14

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Sirk, T pass incomplete to Rahming, T.J., PENALTY BC holding (Yiadom,I) 10 yards to the DU24, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 9 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Jela Duncan run for 12 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (Lucas Patrick) to the Duke 39

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 6 yds to the Duke 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.94

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Ryan Smith for 11 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey, broken up by Steven Daniels

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 14 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Thomas Sirk sacked by Steven Daniels for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 38

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.19

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 19 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 21

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

4th & 12Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.49

Ross Martin 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 42

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Rouse run for 25 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Smith,J rush for 4 yards to the DU29, out-of-bounds (Cash, J), PENALTY BC holding (Callinan,C) 10 yards to the DU43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeff Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Jeff Smith run for 16 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the Duke 21

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 25

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jeff Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Alonzo Saxton II

4th & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Duke 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 29 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Shaquille Powell run for 6 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Anthony Nash

4th & 6Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +1.13

Ross Martin 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler Rouse run for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jeff Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the BC 39

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Jeff Smith run for 9 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jeff Smith pass incomplete to David Dudeck, broken up by Dwayne Norman

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeff Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Duke 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the Duke 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 2 yds to the Duke 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 56 yds , Connor Strachan returns for no gain to the BC 15 Connor Strachan fumbled, recovered by Duke Johnell Barnes

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the BC 12

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Thomas Sirk run for 11 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shaquille Powell run for no gain to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the BC 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jela Duncan run for no gain to the BC 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Troy Flutie run for 1 yd to the BC 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 1

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Troy Flutie pass complete to Thadd Smith for 33 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeff Smith pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 5 yds to the BC 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Jeff Smith pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 8 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sherman Alston run for 5 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Duke 45

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 49

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Alex Howell punt for 33 yds , Ryan Smith returns for 9 yds to the Duke 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Duke 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Kamrin Moore

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 52 yds, downed at the BC 21

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Sherman Alston run for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jeff Smith pass incomplete to David Dudeck

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 30

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeff Smith pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alex Howell punt for 38 yds, downed at the Duke 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Braxton Deaver for 9 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jela Duncan run for 1 yd to the Duke 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Sirk, T pass incomplete to Barnes, J, PENALTY BC pass interference (Moore,K) 15 yards to the BC43, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Jela Duncan

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Troy Flutie run for 8 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Troy Flutie pass complete to Thadd Smith for 66 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Duke 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to David Reeves

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.59

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the BC 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Shaun Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Troy Flutie pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 4 yds to the BC 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Troy Flutie pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Alex Howell punt for 52 yds , Ryan Smith returns for 9 yds to the Duke 28 DUKE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Duke 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Shaquille Powell run for 8 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Duke 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Braxton Deaver for 11 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 8 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the BC 42

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Troy Flutie pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 16 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Marcus Outlow run for 15 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the Duke 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Troy Flutie pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 10 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Harris Williams) to the Duke 39

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Rouse run for 7 yds to the Duke 32

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 36

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Marcus Outlow run for 9 yds to the Duke 27

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Colton Lichtenberg 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Duke 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.32

Thomas Sirk sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 25

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Will Monday punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler Rouse run for 7 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Troy Flutie run for 1 yd to the Duke 42

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jeff Smith pass incomplete to David Dudeck

4th & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.71

Jeff Smith pass complete to David Dudeck for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 43

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 37

2nd & 16Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (Truman Gutapfel) to the Duke 42

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 39

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 38

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
15 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays