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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 5

Home Win Probability

Virginia 35%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
1712171056
VirginiaVirginia
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-147-177-2414-2914-3214-3914-4914-56
VirginiaBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSVIRBSTD10ydPUNT39ydTD680ydTO3-3ydFG4-5ydTD375ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT3-1ydMISS750ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydMISS845ydTD669ydSAF2-10ydFG637ydTD465ydPUNT33ydEND66ydFG1453ydTO519ydTD130ydDOWNS42ydPUNT6-3ydTD2-5ydTO511ydFG59ydPUNT34ydTD371ydPUNT31ydDOWNS545ydPUNT920ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Virginia
StatisticBoise StateVirginia
Passing25-3816-33
Pass Yards358233
Rush Yards8940
Total Yards447273
Turnovers05
3rd Down3-147-17
Penalties4-259-80
Possession28:0531:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
24/35, 321 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jeremy McNichols
9 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Sperbeck
5 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
Virginia
passing
Matt Johns
12/25, 199 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Daniel Hamm
8 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
T.J. Thorpe
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-21 ydsPPA -8.07

Matt Johns pass intercepted for a TD Justin Taimatuia return for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Matt Johns run for 9 yds to the Virg 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 51 yds , Donte Deayon returns for no gain to the BoiSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 1 yd to the BoiSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.71

Jeremy McNichols run for 47 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 20 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the Virg 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 22

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA +0.24

Matt Johns pass intercepted Darian Thompson return for 19 yds to the Virg 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-Rhodes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Thomas Sperbeck pass incomplete to Holden Huff

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.98

Brett Rypien sacked by Mike Moore and David Dean for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 34. Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Mike Moore, recovered by BoiSt Brett Rypien at the Virg 34.

4th & 15Field Goal Good+51 ydsPPA +2.03

Tyler Rausa 51 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 25

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +7.13

T.J. Thorpe 75 Yd pass from Matt Johns (Ian Frye Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Devan Demas run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Travis Averill) to the BoiSt 9

3rd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.02

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for no gain to the BoiSt 9

4th & 19Punt+18 yds

Sean Wale punt for 51 yds , Maurice Canady returns for 18 yds to the BoiSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Johns pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Matt Johns sacked by TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Brett Rypien run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.19

Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 47 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rees Odhiambo) to the Virg 37

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake Roh

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Tyler Rausa 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Johns sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 37

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Virg 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 9 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

3rd & 1Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Brett Rypien sacked by Kwontie Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 24

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Sean Wale punt for 45 yds , Maurice Canady returns for 3 yds to the Virg 27 VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Dominic Sheppard) to the Virg 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 14 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 1 yd to the Virg 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.52

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 23 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 3 yds to the BoiSt 31

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Ian Frye 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 22 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the Virg 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 11 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 15 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 10

2nd & 10Safety-10 ydsPPA -1.86

Matt Johns sacked by Armand Nance for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 19 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 7 yds to the Virg 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the Virg 12

3rd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Rausa 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Tyler Rausa kickoff for 65 yds , Olamide Zaccheaus return for 35 yds to the Virg 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.39

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 16 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.05

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 45 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Dylan Sims kickoff for 65 yds , Kelsey Young return for 21 yds to the VIRGINIA 44 VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-Rhodes

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 29

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Maurice Canady at the Virg 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Albert Reid

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the Virg 30

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Matt Johns run for 10 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Johns run for 3 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Michael Mooney) to the Virg 38

2nd & 12Penalty-15 yds

Johns, Matt pass incomplete to Mizzell, Taquan, PENALTY VIRGINIA pass interference (Mizzell, Taquan) 15 yards to the VIRGINIA23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 27Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the Virg 26

3rd & 24Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Albert Reid run for 8 yds to the Virg 34

0th & 24End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 10 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Brett Rypien run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 5 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Thomas Sperbeck pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

4th & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.41

Brett Rypien run for 8 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the Virg 22

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the Virg 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Rausa 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 3 yds to the Virg 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.89

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.81

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the Virg 40 Taquan Mizzell fumbled, forced by Tanner Vallejo, recovered by BoiSt Ben Weaver, return for 10 yds to the Virg 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Evan Butts

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Johns run for no gain to the BoiSt 38

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 8 yds to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Holden Huff

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Thomas Stuart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.72

Thomas Stuart sacked by Mike Moore for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck

3rd & 19Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 35

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Olamide Zaccheaus at the Virg 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Ross Burbank) to the Virg 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Albert Reid run for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 15Interception Return Touchdown-25 ydsPPA -6.86

Matt Johns pass intercepted for a TD by Mercy Maston, returned 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 20 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jackson Matteo) to the Virg 10

1st & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 12

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.53

Connor Brewer pass complete to Charlie Hopkins for 14 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Connor Brewer pass intercepted Donte Deayon return for 1 yd to the Virg 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Devan Demas run for 6 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Moore) to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Virg 26

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Kelsey Young run for 7 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.25

Brett Rypien sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 28

4th & 12Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +1.16

Tyler Rausa 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 16

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the Virg 22

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor Brewer pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the BoiSt 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 1 yd to the BoiSt 36

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.23

Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 64 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 19

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Brewer run for 1 yd to the Virg 20

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Connor Brewer pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 3 yds to the Virg 23

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 36 yds, downed at the BoiSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.01

Thomas Stuart pass complete to Austin Cottrell for 37 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Devan Demas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 23

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jack Fields run for 3 yds to the Virg 20

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Fields run for no gain to the Virg 20

4th & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA -3.00

Jack Fields run for 6 yds to the Virg 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 15

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Connor Brewer pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 9 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Brewer pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Connor Brewer pass complete to Evan Butts for 8 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 37

2nd & 13Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Connor Brewer sacked by Sam McCaskill and Jabril Frazier for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 34

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 31 yds, downed at the BoiSt 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 33

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
4%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
13%
15 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play