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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2015Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

William & Mary by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Virginia 44%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 19, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
William & Mary
7130929
VirginiaVirginia
71414035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1414-2021-2035-2035-29
VirginiaWilliam & Mary

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20W&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRW&MVIRTD575ydTD1684ydTD775ydTO2-2ydFG44ydTD275ydFG1471ydTD690ydPUNT34ydTO616ydPUNT31ydTD280ydTD3-8ydPUNT31ydMISS1028ydDOWNS1875ydSAF3-1ydTD1049ydPUNT33ydDOWNS824ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing William & Mary and Virginia
StatisticWilliam & MaryVirginia
Passing23-3717-23
Pass Yards226263
Rush Yards145110
Total Yards371373
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-197-12
Penalties6-455-60
Possession34:5525:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

William & Mary
passing
Steve Cluley
23/36, 226 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Mikal Abdul-Saboor
22 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
DeVonte Dedmon
7 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD
Virginia
passing
Matt Johns
17/23, 263 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan Ellis
5 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taquan Mizzell
5 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Steve Cluley run for 5 yds to the WmMry 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 4 yds to the WmMry 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 4 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 21 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Dorka Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Albert Reid run for 1 yd to the Virg 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 6 yds to the Virg 23

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Matt Johns run for 3 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 13 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 13 yds to the WmMry 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 13 yds to the WmMry 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 2 yds to the WmMry 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Albert Reid run for 6 yds to the WmMry 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 3 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the WmMry 15

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Taquan Mizzell run for 8 yds to the WmMry 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Albert Reid run for 6 yds to the WmMry 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Albert Reid run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Matt Johns pass complete to Connor Wingo-Reeves for 3 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 8 yds to the WmMry 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

DeVonte Dedmon run for 4 yds to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 4 yds to the WmMry 41

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to C. Reeves, PENALTY VA pass interference (Harris, T) 15 yards to the VA44, 1ST DOWN WM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.30

Kevin Hart run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 45

2nd & 21Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Kendell Anderson run for 16 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Steve Cluley pass complete to Kevin Hart for 2 yds to the Virg 37

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.94

Steve Cluley pass complete to Andrew Caskin for 37 yds for a TD, (Nick Dorka Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 23

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Johns pass intercepted Josh Dulaney return for 2 yds to the Virg 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 4 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the Virg 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 5 yds to the Virg 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Steve Cluley pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Dorka Jr. 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Taquan Mizzell run for 36 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jordan Ellis run for 39 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the WmMry 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Steve Cluley pass complete to Christian Reeves for 9 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 9 yds to the WmMry 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Kevin Hart

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 9 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 11 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Kendell Anderson run for 12 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Steve Cluley pass complete to Christian Reeves for 7 yds to the Virg 16

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kendell Anderson run for 1 yd to the Virg 15

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 5 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Steve Cluley pass complete to Mikal Abdul-Saboor for 7 yds to the Virg 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Steve Cluley pass complete to Andrew Caskin for 1 yd to the Virg 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Nick Dorka Jr. 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the Virg 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 6 yds to the Virg 18

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Matt Johns run for 8 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 5 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.19

Matt Johns pass complete to David Eldridge for 43 yds to the WmMry 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 26 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the WmMry 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the WmMry 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Andrew Caskin

4th & 6Punt+20 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 60 yds , Maurice Canady returns for 20 yds to the Virg 31

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 21

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Johns run for 4 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 21 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the WmMry 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Albert Reid

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.74

Matt Johns run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 47 Matt Johns fumbled, recovered by Virg Matt Johns

4th & 9Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Johns pass intercepted DeAndre Houston-Carson return for 10 yds to the WmMry 11

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, broken up by Tim Harris

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 8 yds to the Virg 46

3rd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Steve Cluley sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 7 yards to the WmMry 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Daniel Hamm run for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.94

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 80 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 18

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the WmMry 20

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Steve Cluley sacked by David Dean for a loss of 8 yards to the WmMry 12

4th & 18Punt+74 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 62 yds , Maurice Canady returns for 74 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Steve Cluley pass complete to Kevin Hart for 4 yds to the WmMry 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Steve Cluley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (Jerry Ugokwe) to the WmMry 25

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Kendell Anderson run for 7 yds to the WmMry 32

4th & 9Punt+30 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 48 , Olamide Zaccheaus returns for 30 yds to the Virg 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the WmMry 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the WmMry 44

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Matt Johns pass complete to Connor Wingo-Reeves for 6 yds to the WmMry 33

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the WmMry 31

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the WmMry 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell, broken up by Stephen Lubnow

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Frye, I field goal attempt from 46 MISSED - hit left upright,, PENALTY WM roughing the kicker (Trey Reed) 5 yards to the WM24, NO PLAY.

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Ian Frye 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Steve Cluley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 22 Steve Cluley fumbled, recovered by WmMry Steve Cluley

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 9 yds to the WmMry 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Steve Cluley pass complete to Mikal Abdul-Saboor for 6 yds to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kendell Anderson run for 9 yds to the WmMry 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Steve Cluley pass complete to Christian Reeves for 7 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Steve Cluley run for 6 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kendell Anderson run for 3 yds to the Virg 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (Andrew Jones) to the Virg 46

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Steve Cluley pass complete to Jack Armstrong for 10 yds to the Virg 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Steve Cluley pass complete to Andrew Caskin for 5 yds to the Virg 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Christian Reeves

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, PENALTY VA roughing passer (Moore, M) 15 yards to the VA16, 1ST DOWN WM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the Virg 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Steve Cluley pass complete to Kevin Hart for 1 yd to the Virg 13

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 9 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the Virg 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 1 yd to the Virg 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for no gain to the Virg 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Christian Reeves pass incomplete to Steve Cluley, broken up by Kelvin Rainey

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 1

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Johns run for no gain to the Virg 1

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Albert Reid run for no gain to the Virg 1

4th & 11Blocked Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt blocked for a SAFETY

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WmMry 41

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon

2nd & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Steve Cluley pass complete to Christian Reeves for 18 yds to the Virg 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 3 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Steve Cluley pass complete to Mikal Abdul-Saboor for 18 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kendell Anderson run for 3 yds to the Virg 17

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

DeVonte Dedmon run for 10 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kendell Anderson run for no gain to the Virg 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Andrew Weidinger

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Steve Cluley pass complete to Mikal Abdul-Saboor for 3 yds to the Virg 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Dorka Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 21

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt Johns sacked by Tyler Claytor for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 13

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 11 yds to the Virg 24

4th & 7Punt+28 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 58 yds , DeVonte Dedmon returns for 28 yds to the WmMry 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Steve Cluley pass complete to Daniel Kuzjak for 11 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Kevin Hart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Steve Cluley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Daniel Kuzjak

4th & 10Penalty+10 yds

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, PENALTY VA holding (Canady, M) 10 yards to the VA33, 1ST DOWN WM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Steve Cluley sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 41 Steve Cluley fumbled, recovered by WmMry Jared Templeton , return for 0 yards

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 11 yds to the Virg 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.23

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 30

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 29

3rd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 26

Situational Analysis

William & Mary

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
86%
7 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play