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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2015Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Virginia 39%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 12, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
12014834
VirginiaVirginia
01401327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-60-97-1214-1214-1921-2627-2627-34
VirginiaNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRNDVIRTD1375ydPUNT34ydFG955ydPUNT38ydFG634ydTD875ydDOWNS850ydTD775ydPUNT31ydEND2-3ydMISS1149ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydTD159ydPUNT3-2ydMISS538ydPUNT35ydTD345ydTD675ydPUNT526ydTO531ydPUNT3-3ydTD1380ydTD880ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Virginia
StatisticNotre DameVirginia
Passing15-3026-38
Pass Yards207289
Rush Yards253127
Total Yards460416
Turnovers01
3rd Down0-106-15
Penalties4-409-55
Possession26:3733:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Malik Zaire
7/18, 115 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
C.J. Prosise
17 CAR, 155 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Fuller V
5 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
Virginia
passing
Matt Johns
26/38, 289 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Taquan Mizzell
18 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Canaan Severin
11 REC, 153 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Chris Brown

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

C.J. Prosise run for 15 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Malik Zaire pass complete to Will Fuller for 11 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Amir Carlisle run for 2 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Malik Zaire run for 16 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andrew Brown) to the Virg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Zaire run for 3 yds to the Virg 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the Virg 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller, broken up by Maurice Canady

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +3.21

Durham Smythe 7 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt Johns run for 3 yds to the Virg 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 41 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for no gain to the NDame 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Chris Brown

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.19

C.J. Prosise run for 14 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Malik Zaire pass complete to Chris Brown for 16 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Torii Hunter Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 42

2nd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.77

Malik Zaire run for 18 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Virg 22

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Josh Adams run for no gain to the Virg 15

4th & 1Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Yoon 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 4 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Malik Zaire pass complete to Chris Brown for 7 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.43

C.J. Prosise run for 25 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Prosise run for 2 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller, broken up by Demetrious Nicholson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.69

Justin Yoon 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 16 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 45

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Michael Mooney) to the Virg 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.41

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 18 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.61

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 38 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Albert Reid run for no gain to the NDame 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 2 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.16

C.J. Prosise run for 15 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Malik Zaire pass complete to Amir Carlisle for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 46

2nd & 12Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.70

C.J. Prosise run for 21 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

C.J. Prosise run for 8 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Zaire run for no gain to the Virg 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Zaire run for 1 yd to the Virg 24

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.41

C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Johns run for 3 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for 12 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Johns pass complete to Charlie Hopkins for 5 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the NDame 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 5 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 42 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to C.J. Prosise

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Malik Zaire pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 6 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 58 yds , Maurice Canady returns for 11 yds to the Virg 32

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 29

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the Virg 29

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Keeon Johnson, broken up by Cole Luke

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Andrew Trumbetti) to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 38

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Taquan Mizzell run for 9 yds to the Virg 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.89

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Johns, Matt pass incomplete to Severin, Canaan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Luke, Cole) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (Matt Johns) to the NDame 37

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Albert Reid run for 16 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Albert Reid run for 1 yd to the NDame 16

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Johns, Matt pass complete to Severin, Canaan for 11 yards to the NOTREDAME5, PENALTY VIRGINIA holding 10 yards to the NOTREDAME26, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Ian Frye 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller, broken up by Demetrious Nicholson

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.38

Malik Zaire sacked by Micah Kiser for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 26

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 62 yds, downed at the Virg 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Matt Johns run for no gain to the Virg 15

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 52 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 8 yds to the NDame 41

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Malik Zaire pass complete to Will Fuller for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Tyler Newsome kickoff for 59 yds , Taquan Mizzell return for 12 yds to the Virg 18 VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Divante Walker) to the Virg 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Albert Reid run for 5 yds to the Virg 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for no gain to the Virg 13

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Jackson Matteo) to the Virg 8

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.07

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 6

4th & 12Punt+10 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 59 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 10 yds to the NDame 45

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +1.71

Malik Zaire run for 39 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

C.J. Prosise run for 4 yds to the Virg 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Chris Brown

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (Malik Zaire) to the Virg 17

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Will Fuller

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Justin Yoon 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 4 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin, broken up by Max Redfield

4th & 5Punt+30 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 50 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 30 yds to the Virg 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Malik Zaire pass complete to Chris Brown for 18 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Zaire run for 3 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

C.J. Prosise run for 24 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 20 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 35 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the NDame 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Keeon Johnson, broken up by Cole Luke

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 16 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Matt Johns run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris Brown

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

C.J. Prosise run for 17 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 2 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 7 yds to the Virg 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the Virg 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Taquan Mizzell run for 25 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for 10 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the NDame 38

3rd & 3Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.92

Matt Johns sacked by KeiVarae Russell for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 49 Matt Johns fumbled, forced by KeiVarae Russell, recovered by NDame Romeo Okwara , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris Brown

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the NDame 49

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.93

DeShone Kizer sacked by Mike Moore and Micah Kiser for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Charlie Hopkins, broken up by Joe Schmidt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 15 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Virg 30

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 15 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 44

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 8 yds to the NDame 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 4 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.42

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 4 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Albert Reid

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Johns, Matt pass complete to Reid, Albert for 5 yards to the NOTREDAME25, PENALTY VIRGINIA ineligible downfield on pass (Burbank, Ross) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.24

Matt Johns pass complete to Ryan Santoro for 34 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Albert Reid 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 8 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will Fuller

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will Fuller, broken up by Maurice Canady

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.51

DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 11 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.28

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 17 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 1 yd to the Virg 39

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.84

Will Fuller 39 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (DeShone Kizer Pass to Torii Hunter Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell, broken up by KeiVarae Russell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 9 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down lat. to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
71%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
44%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play