Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 6, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Florida State 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 6, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
0100616
Florida StateFlorida State
147142459

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-321-1028-1035-1042-1049-1659-16
Florida StateTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSTSFSPUNT89ydTD1085ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydDOWNS42ydTD358ydFG1256ydPUNT37ydTO30ydTD229ydTD763ydTO614ydPUNT615ydEND219ydTD1169ydPUNT35ydTD1089ydPUNT523ydTD766ydPUNT35ydTD371ydTD1582ydTD440ydTO19ydFG626ydDOWNS933ydEND15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Florida State
StatisticTexas StateFlorida State
Passing26-4225-32
Pass Yards168370
Rush Yards132266
Total Yards300636
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-178-12
Penalties1-55-35
Possession27:5932:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
16/25, 100 YDS
rushing
Tyler Jones
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
C.J. Best
6 REC, 43 YDS
Florida State
passing
Everett Golson
19/25, 302 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Dalvin Cook
19 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ja'Vonn Harrison
2 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Jones pass complete to Lawrence White for 6 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 8 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 2 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 3 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.03

Tyler Jones sacked by Trey Marshall for a loss of 12 yards to the TexSt 37

2nd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 39

3rd & 20Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, False Start (Adrian Bellard) to the TexSt 34

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Everett Golson pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 8 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 11 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.87

Dalvin Cook run for 18 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Mario Pender run for 7 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mario Pender run for 4 yds to the TexSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Mario Pender run for 18 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 6 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 34

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 57 yds , Marquez White returns for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 18 Dalvin Cook fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Dalvin Cook

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Everett Golson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Robert Lowe run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Robert Lowe run for no gain to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Tyler Jones pass complete to Robert Lowe for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 42

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.75

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 28 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Everett Golson pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 2 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.11

Dalvin Cook run for 28 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Robert Lowe run for no gain to the TexSt 41

4th & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +3.04

Lumi Kaba run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Robert Lowe run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Jones pass complete to Jafus Gaines for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 5 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.56

Tyler Jones run for 26 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Robert Lowe run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Robert Lowe

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.72

James Sherman 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Everett Golson pass incomplete to Mavin Saunders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Everett Golson pass complete to Mario Pender for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Everett Golson run for no gain to the FlaSt 32

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 10 yds to the TexSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Robert Lowe run for no gain to the TexSt 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jafus Gaines

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 35 yds , Marquez White returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 29 Marquez White fumbled, recovered by TexSt Donta Clanton

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyler Jones pass complete to Chris Nutall for 25 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Chris Nutall run for 4 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Izzo) to the FlaSt 32

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.50

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.31

Dalvin Cook run for 36 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mario Pender run for 3 yds to the TexSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Mario Pender run for 6 yds to the TexSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mario Pender run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Chris Nutall

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 4 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chris Nutall run for 1 yd to the TexSt 31

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Chris Nutall run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 28

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 34

4th & 6Punt+45 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 45 yds , Travis Rudolph returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 20 Travis Rudolph fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Mario Pender

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 11

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 4 yds to the FlaSt 15

3rd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Dalvin Cook run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Everett Golson sacked by Demetrius Woodard for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Mario Pender run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mario Pender run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cason Beatty punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dila Rosemond at the TexSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Tyler Jones pass complete to C.J. Best for 19 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Ryan Carden

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.62

Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 13 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mario Pender run for no gain to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.56

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 21 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Dalvin Cook run for 13 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Freddie Stevenson run for 6 yds to the TexSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Roderick Johnson) to the TexSt 21

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Dalvin Cook run for 10 yds to the TexSt 11

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Mario Pender run for 6 yds to the TexSt 5

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Jones pass complete to Ryan Carden for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Ryan Carden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 11

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Mario Pender run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Everett Golson pass incomplete to Dalvin Cook

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.12

Everett Golson pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 22 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Everett Golson pass incomplete to Kermit Whitfield

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Everett Golson pass complete to Ermon Lane for 11 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Everett Golson run for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Everett Golson pass complete to Ermon Lane for 12 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Everett Golson pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 13 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Tyler Jones pass complete to Lawrence White for 8 yds to the TexSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Chris Nutall run for 9 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chris Nutall run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Jones pass complete to Chris Nutall for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Jones pass complete to Chris Nutall for 6 yds to the TexSt 40

4th & 4Punt+18 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 44 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 18 yds to the FlaSt 34

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Wilson Bell) to the FlaSt 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.36

Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 35 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ermon Lane

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Everett Golson sacked by Stephen Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.27

Everett Golson pass complete to Mario Pender for 17 yds to the TexSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Wilson Bell) to the TexSt 25

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Mario Pender run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Everett Golson pass complete to Mario Pender for 10 yds to the TexSt 14

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 14 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Robert Lowe run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Robert Lowe run for no gain to the TexSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor White pass incomplete to Chris Nutall

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 45 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Mario Pender run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mario Pender run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.83

Everett Golson pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 55 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 6 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Connor White pass complete to Chris French for 10 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Connor White run for 10 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor White pass incomplete to Stedman Mayberry

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor White run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.03

Connor White pass complete to Demun Mercer for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor White pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Stedman Mayberry run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor White pass complete to Justin Gamble for 4 yds to the FlaSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 6 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Stedman Mayberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor White pass incomplete to Stedman Mayberry

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Connor White pass complete to Chris French for 4 yds for a TD, (James Sherman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Sean Maguire pass complete to George Campbell for 12 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Sean Maguire pass complete to George Campbell for 7 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Sean Maguire pass complete to Da'Vante Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 24

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.36

Sean Maguire pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 24 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.92

Stephan Johnson run for 9 yds to the TexSt 31 Stephan Johnson fumbled, forced by Javien Elliott, recovered by FlaSt Derwin James , return for 3 yds to the TexSt 31

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the TexSt 26 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (George Campbell) to the TexSt 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Sean Maguire pass complete to George Campbell for 23 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Maguire pass incomplete to George Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the TexSt 10

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Maguire pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 5 yds to the TexSt 5

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.09

Roberto Aguayo 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Connor White pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Connor White run for 11 yds to the TexSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor White pass incomplete to Ryan Garrey

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Connor White pass complete to Jack Rhoades for 5 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Connor White pass complete to Ryan Garrey for 15 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor White pass incomplete to Ryan Garrey

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Connor White pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Connor White pass incomplete to Kwamane Bowens

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 47

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
53%
32 plays
80%
5 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play