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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 33%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
30036
NorthwesternNorthwestern
370616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-33-310-313-313-616-6
NorthwesternStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORNORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORSTANORFG1264ydPUNT35ydPUNT318ydFG1369ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT67ydTD1080ydTO210ydMISS87ydPUNT35ydEND519ydPUNT44ydPUNT432ydPUNT618ydPUNT57ydPUNT723ydPUNT34ydFG1361ydFG1355ydFG943ydTO1067ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Northwestern
StatisticStanfordNorthwestern
Passing20-3512-25
Pass Yards155105
Rush Yards85225
Total Yards240330
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-1512-22
Penalties5-255-57
Possession28:0831:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Kevin Hogan
20/35, 155 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Christian McCaffrey
12 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Austin Hooper
5 REC, 45 YDS
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
12/24, 105 YDS
rushing
Justin Jackson
28 CAR, 134 YDS
receiving
Christian Jones
5 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kevin Hogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 23 Kevin Hogan fumbled, recovered by Stanf Kevin Hogan

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 9 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.50

Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Rollins Stallworth for 12 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 13 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Remound Wright run for 10 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 1 yd to the Nwest 13

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Francis Owusu run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Christian McCaffrey

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.52

Conrad Ukropina 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 2 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt-8 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 45 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 18

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 29

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Remound Wright run for 7 yds to the Stanf 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 6 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Justin Jackson run for 16 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.64

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 11 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Warren Long run for 4 yds to the Stanf 36

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.06

Justin Jackson run for 19 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Mitchell 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 31

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kevin Hogan sacked by Ifeadi Odenigbo and Anthony Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 28

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Solomon Vault run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.79

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Nwest Clayton Thorson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 39 yds, downed at the Stanf 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Rollins Stallworth

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Remound Wright for 10 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.31

Kevin Hogan sacked by Traveon Henry for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 47

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Remound Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Clayton Thorson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 9 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.89

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 5 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.87

Clayton Thorson run for 42 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 6 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.87

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38 Christian McCaffrey fumbled, forced by Drew Smith, recovered by Nwest Anthony Walker , return for 4 yds to the Stanf 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Andrew Scanlan pass incomplete to Clayton Thorson

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 40

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brennan Scarlett) to the Stanf 35

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Stanf 35

4th & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.53

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 9 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Jelani Roberts run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 31

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Stanf 31

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Jack Mitchell 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Rollins Stallworth for 5 yds to the Stanf 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kevin Hogan run for no gain to the Stanf 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis Owusu

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan Vitale

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Warren Long run for 7 yds to the Nwest 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Jones) to the Nwest 17

1st & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 6 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 40 yds, downed at the Stanf 31

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.31

Christian McCaffrey run for 27 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin Hooper

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Remound Wright

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 20

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Miles Shuler for 8 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Warren Long run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 31

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Perez) to the Nwest 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Warren Long run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the Stanf 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 7 yds to the Stanf 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 37

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis Owusu

4th & 14Punt+7 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 51 yds , Miles Shuler returns for 7 yds to the Nwest 19

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.82

Jelani Roberts run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 13 Jelani Roberts fumbled, recovered by Nwest

2nd & 16Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Solomon Thomas) to the Nwest 18

2nd & 11Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 20 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 10

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Solomon Vault run for 6 yds to the Nwest 16

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.87

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 17 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Solomon Vault run for 5 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Nwest 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 38 yds, downed at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Barry Sanders run for 6 yds to the Stanf 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Austin Hooper

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Robinson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 6 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Warren Long run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Jackson run for 21 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Stanf 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.15

Jack Mitchell 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 13 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Stanf 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz

2nd & 10Penalty+9 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Remound Wright run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.38

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 10 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Greg Taboada

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael Rector

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 6 yds to the Nwest 20

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.37

Conrad Ukropina 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Warren Long run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Warren Long run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Miles Shuler for 25 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 1 yd to the Stanf 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Miles Shuler

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Mitchell 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 4 yds to the Stanf 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 11 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 2 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Kevin Hogan sacked by Ifeadi Odenigbo for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.17

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 16 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 11 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Matthew Harris) to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Hogan pass complete to Francis Owusu for 5 yds to the Nwest 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Hogan pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-17 ydsPPA -4.24

Kevin Hogan pass intercepted Kyle Queiro return for 17 yds to the Nwest 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 16

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 15

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
15%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
38%
13 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays