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← Back to GamesSep 6, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 10.9

Home Win Probability

USC 80%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 6, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
00606
USCUSC
1414141355

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-028-642-648-655-6
USCArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASASASUSCASUSCTD477ydPUNT38ydPUNT641ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS49ydTO531ydPUNT827ydPUNT36ydTD240ydPUNT523ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydTD165ydPUNT60ydTD868ydDOWNS1054ydEND2-4ydTD778ydPUNT440ydPUNT416ydTO27ydPUNT33ydTO614ydTD25ydPUNT35ydTD470ydEND868ydTD732ydDOWNS838ydTD863ydDOWNS721ydUncategorized1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and USC
StatisticArkansas StateUSC
Passing17-3723-32
Pass Yards193324
Rush Yards208185
Total Yards401509
Turnovers40
3rd Down6-193-10
Penalties8-883-25
Possession35:3124:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
James Tabary
7/11, 95 YDS
rushing
Fredi Knighten
14 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Tres Houston
2 REC, 54 YDS
USC
passing
Cody Kessler
19/26, 240 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tre Madden
12 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JuJu Smith-Schuster
4 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 15 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cody Kessler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Tre Madden run for 1 yd to the USC 39

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.62

Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 61 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Warren Leapheart

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Fredi Knighten run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Gordon run for no gain to the ArkSt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 50 yds, downed at the USC 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 4 yds to the USC 11

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.58

Tre Madden run for 10 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kessler, Cody pass incomplete to Smith-Schuster, JuJu, PENALTY ARKST pass interference (Brown, Cody) 15 yards to the USC36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Tre Madden run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tre Madden run for no gain to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.65

Cody Kessler sacked by Tajhea Chambers for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 43 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the ArkSt 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tres Houston

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.22

Fredi Knighten sacked by Kenny Bigelow Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 3

3rd & 16Penalty-1 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Dijon Paschal) to the ArkSt 2

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 54 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 9 yds to the ArkSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tre Madden run for no gain to the ArkSt 39

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.00

Tre Madden run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 38

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Fredi Knighten run for 19 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Blake Mack for 3 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Fredi Knighten run for 9 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-35 ydsPPA -4.16

Fredi Knighten pass intercepted Chris Hawkins return for 20 yds to the USC 11 USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Antwaun Woods) to the USC 15

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Cody Kessler sacked by Tajhea Chambers for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 8

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.36

Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 13 yds to the USC 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 9 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.53

Cody Kessler sacked by Darrius Rosser for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 35

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 7 yds to the USC 42

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 48 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 6 yds to the ArkSt 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Michael Gordon run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Fredi Knighten run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Blake Mack

4th & 4Punt+31 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 49 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 31 yds to the ArkSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.76

Cody Kessler pass complete to Isaac Whitney for 31 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 14

1st & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.78

Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Fredi Knighten run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.82

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for 14 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Fredi Knighten run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 49

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.89

Tyler Trosin run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Johnston White for 5 yds to the ArkSt 48

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 36 yds , Christian Tober returns for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Cody Kessler sacked by Charleston Girley and Tajhea Chambers for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Christian Tober

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 49 yds, downed at the ArkSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for 2 yds to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Michael Gordon

4th & 6Punt+26 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 41 yds ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the USC 35

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Tre Madden run for 65 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Fredi Knighten run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Booker Mays

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Fredi Knighten pass complete to JD McKissic for 10 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35

3rd & 9Rush-12 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler Trosin run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 38 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Joseph Bacchus) to the ArkSt 23

3rd & 21Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Christian Tober at the USC 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Cody Kessler pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 10 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Ronald Jones II run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 13 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Tyler Petite

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.20

Jalen Greene pass complete to Dominic Davis for 18 yds to the ArkSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Soma Vainuku run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cody Kessler pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Darion Griswold for 6 yds to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Johnston White run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.30

Warren Wand run for 26 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Booker Mays run for 4 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Fredi Knighten run for 4 yds to the USC 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Fredi Knighten run for 3 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tres Houston

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Fredi Knighten run for 4 yds to the USC 27

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.98

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 5 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Cody Kessler sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 23

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.22

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Tres Houston for 41 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Fredi Knighten pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 5 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tres Houston pass incomplete to Fredi Knighten

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Fredi Knighten run for 6 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Michael Gordon run for 17 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Michael Gordon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

3rd & 6Pass Reception+31 yds

Max Browne pass complete to Dominic Davis for 31 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dominic Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Max Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Max Browne pass complete to Christian Tober for 6 yds to the USC 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 38 yds, fair catch by TEAM at the ArkSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 13 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tre Madden run for 1 yd to the USC 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 2 yds to the USC 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-Schuster

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 34 yds, downed at the ArkSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -1.85

Michael Gordon run for 7 yds to the USC 45 Michael Gordon fumbled, forced by Jabari Ruffin, recovered by USC Chris Hawkins

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Christian Tober

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay of Game (Kris Albarado) to the USC 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kris Albarado punt for 32 yds, fair catch by TEAM at the ArkSt 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Gordon run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Gordon run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Fredi Knighten run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Fredi Knighten pass incomplete to Blake Mack

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-32 ydsPPA -0.29

Fredi Knighten pass intercepted Su'a Cravens return for 32 yds to the ArkSt 5

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Tre Madden run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Michael Gordon run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Fredi Knighten run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Ferguson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christian Tober at the USC 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Ronald Jones II run for 7 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 12 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cody Kessler pass complete to Isaac Whitney for 7 yds to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.32

Ronald Jones II run for 44 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Johnston White run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnston White run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.21

James Tabary pass complete to Darion Griswold for 40 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

James Tabary pass complete to Michael Gordon for 11 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

James Tabary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Johnston White run for 3 yds to the USC 9

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the USC 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Gordon run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.16

James Tabary pass complete to Booker Mays for 13 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

James Tabary pass complete to JD McKissic for 4 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Warren Wand run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Johnston White run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

James Tabary pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 8 yds to the ArkSt 48

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+46 ydsPPA -1.74

Michael Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards Michael Gordon fumbled, recovered by USC Osa Masina , return for 46 yds, (Alex Wood PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

James Tabary pass complete to Tres Houston for 13 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

James Tabary pass complete to JD McKissic for 6 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Johnston White run for 13 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

James Tabary pass incomplete to Tyler Trosin

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

James Tabary pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

James Tabary pass incomplete to Booker Mays

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the USC 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.87

Max Browne pass complete to De'Quan Hampton for 25 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.40

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Money Hunter) to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Browne pass incomplete to Jalen Greene

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 6

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 6 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Logan Moragne run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Moragne run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Cameron Birse pass complete to Warren Wand for 10 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Warren Wand run for no gain to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Moragne run for 5 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Cameron Birse pass complete to Dijon Paschal for 2 yds to the USC 46

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.22

Logan Moragne run for 1 yd to the USC 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 44

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
35 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
32%
19 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play