Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 20.6

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 93%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North TexasNorth Texas
00000
TennesseeTennessee
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-024-0
TennesseeNorth Texas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENNTTENNTTENNTTENNTTENNTTENNTNTTENNTTENNTTENNTTENNTTENTD556ydPUNT30ydPUNT1039ydPUNT1048ydTD871ydDOWNS718ydPUNT30ydDOWNS839ydFG830ydPUNT3-8ydTO525ydEND1-1ydPUNT725ydPUNT621ydPUNT743ydTD1280ydPUNT513ydPUNT832ydPUNT416ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydEND958yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Texas and Tennessee
StatisticNorth TexasTennessee
Passing13-2618-28
Pass Yards107172
Rush Yards92237
Total Yards199409
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-127-16
Penalties5-352-10
Possession30:5929:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Texas
passing
DaMarcus Smith
12/25, 103 YDS
rushing
Jeffery Wilson
14 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Marcus Smith
5 REC, 46 YDS
Tennessee
passing
Joshua Dobbs
15/23, 136 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Alvin Kamara
15 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Josh Malone
4 REC, 38 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 14 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Hurd run for 13 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh Smith

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Alvin Kamara run for 27 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by LaDarrell McNeil

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 31

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 18 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Alvin Kamara run for 9 yds to the NoTex 47

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alex Ellis for 5 yds to the NoTex 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 30

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Chance Hall) to the NoTex 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 31 yds, downed at the NoTex 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.32

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.87

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DaMarcus Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Willy Ivery run for 16 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

DaMarcus Smith sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 47

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the Tenn 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Justin Martin at the Tenn 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +2.13

Alvin Kamara run for 20 yds to the NoTex 42 Alvin Kamara fumbled, forced by Zac Whitfield, recovered by Tenn Alvin Kamara for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the NoTex 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.14

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 26 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.34

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 40

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 39

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris

4th & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Eric Keena pass complete to Andrew Tucker for 4 yds to the NoTex 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh Smith

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tre Johnson at the NoTex 8

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 12 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, forced by Brian Randolph, recovered by NoTex Chris Miles

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Willy Ivery run for 12 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 5 yds to the NoTex 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to O'Keeron Rutherford for 9 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 47

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the NoTex 38

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Jalen Hurd run for 10 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.34

Jalen Hurd run for 19 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the NoTex 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 7

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.58

Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 16

4th & 0Field Goal Good+34 yds

Aaron Medley 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.83

DaMarcus Smith sacked by Chris Weatherd for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 27

4th & 18Punt+22 yds

Eric Keena punt for 40 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 22 yds to the NoTex 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 15 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf, broken up by Cortney Finney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 3 yds to the NoTex 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 7 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.38

Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Chad Davis return for no gain to the NoTex 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jeffrey Wilson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 7 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Malik Foreman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 9 yds to the Tenn 45

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.20

DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the Tenn 45 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, recovered by NoTex DaMarcus Smith

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (DaMarcus Smith) to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Eric Keena punt for 33 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 5 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Von Pearson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 32

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 18

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.23

Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 15 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 48

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Smith, DaM. rush for 8 yards to the UT44 (Reeves-Maybin;Vereen, C.), PENALTY UT offside defense (O'Brien, D.) 5 yards to the UT47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tenn 25

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Tenn 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh Malone

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.33

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 22 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the NoTex 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 2 yds to the NoTex 34

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the NoTex 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the NoTex 20

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the NoTex 15

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 11 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Malik Foreman

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Alvin Kamara run for 11 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Josh Smith

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Von Pearson for 9 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinten Dormady run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Quinten Dormady run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Trevor Daniel punt for 46 yds , Tre Johnson returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 15

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Willy Ivery run for 14 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Chris Loving

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Tee Goree

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eric Keena punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tenn 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 29

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.32

Quinten Dormady sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 25

4th & 13Punt0 yds

TEAM punt

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd to the Tenn 47 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+19 yds

Eric Keena punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Smith at the Tenn 13 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, kick catching interference (Willy Ivery) to the Tenn 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Josh Smith for 21 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Joe Young run for 9 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.21

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Young run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinten Dormady run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Joe Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Joe Young run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

John Kelly run for 9 yds to the NoTex 16

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

John Kelly run for 2 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays