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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 40%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
0213731
Mississippi StateMississippi State
03306

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-213-246-246-31
Mississippi StateAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSMSALAMSALAMSALAALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAPUNT65ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1051ydTO537ydPUNT531ydPUNT38ydTO25ydPUNT31ydMISS555ydPUNT36ydTD515ydPUNT3-2ydTD365ydFG1071ydTD375ydDOWNS1338ydUncategorized0-10ydFG941ydPUNT823ydPUNT38ydFG1054ydMISS1459ydPUNT37ydTD274ydTO28ydDOWNS47ydDOWNS827ydEND210yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Mississippi State
StatisticAlabamaMississippi State
Passing15-2523-45
Pass Yards144304
Rush Yards23589
Total Yards379393
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-147-20
Penalties4-404-40
Possession26:3033:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jake Coker
15/25, 144 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Derrick Henry
22 CAR, 204 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
Mississippi State
passing
Dak Prescott
22/43, 300 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Holloway
7 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Fred Ross
8 REC, 114 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Dak Prescott sacked by A'Shawn Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 18

2nd & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.12

Dak Prescott run for 16 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 4 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Dak Prescott sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 30

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the MisSt 30

3rd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the MisSt 30

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 54 yds, downed at the Alab 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 8 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jake Coker pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Coker pass incomplete

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Ryan Kelly) to the Alab 19

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

JK Scott punt for 37 yds , Fred Ross returns for 3 yds to the MisSt 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Darrion Hutcherson

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Prescott, Dak pass incomplete to Gray, Donald, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jones, Cyrus) 15 yards to the ALABAMA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the Alab 37

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.97

Dak Prescott sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 48 Dak Prescott fumbled, forced by Ryan Anderson, recovered by MisSt

3rd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 17 yds to the Alab 31

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Fred Ross run for 9 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.18

Brandon Holloway run for 19 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson, broken up by Cyrus Jones

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dak Prescott run for 2 yds to the Alab 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Dak Prescott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 2

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Alab 7

1st & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (A.J. Jefferson) to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Derrick Henry run for no gain to the Alab 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Coker pass incomplete to O.J. Howard

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Coker pass intercepted Brandon Bryant return for no gain to the MisSt 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.51

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 23 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dak Prescott pass complete to Aeris Williams for 3 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the Alab 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 32 yds, downed at the Alab 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 5 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 18

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 17

4th & 2Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.29

Ashton Shumpert run for 5 yds to the MisSt 47 Ashton Shumpert fumbled, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Derrick Henry

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 3 yds to the MisSt 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.79

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 54 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Brandon Holloway

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 1 yd to the Alab 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Westin Graves 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Coker pass complete to Derrick Henry for no gain to the Alab 32

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jake Coker run for 6 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Coker pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 8 yds to the MisSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dak Prescott run for 3 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the MisSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 7Punt+69 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 34 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Brown

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Brandon Holloway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 19

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Dak Prescott sacked by Tim Williams and Ryan Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 15

4th & 12Punt+50 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the MISSSTATE 45 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Shawn Burgess-Becker) to the Alab 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 5 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.20

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 60 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gabe Myles for 8 yds to the MisSt 23

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Dak Prescott run for 6 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 14 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Dak Prescott run for 2 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.61

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 41 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Joe Morrow

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Donald Gray

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.25

Westin Graves 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 26

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +7.07

Derrick Henry run for 74 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon Holloway run for no gain to the MisSt 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 6 yds to the MisSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Dak Prescott run for 5 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the MisSt 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 5 yds to the MisSt 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.28

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 11 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson, broken up by Tony Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross, broken up by Reuben Foster

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.16

Dak Prescott run for 17 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Dak Prescott sacked by A'Shawn Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gabe Myles for 1 yd to the Alab 38

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the Alab 37

4th & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Dak Prescott sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alphonse Taylor) to the Alab 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 36

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

ArDarius Stewart run for 8 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Coker pass complete to Damien Harris for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 19 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 2 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the MisSt 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.20

Adam Griffith 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Brandon Holloway

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.47

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 22 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Brandon Holloway run for 1 yd to the MisSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 19 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 4 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Brandon Holloway run for 1 yd to the Alab 35

3rd & 5Sack-24 ydsPPA -3.38

Dak Prescott sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the MisSt 44 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Donald Gray) to the MisSt 41

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 6 yds to the Alab 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 9 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Dak Prescott run for 9 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Dak Prescott run for 8 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 18 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 5 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.57

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 19 yds to the Alab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Donald Gray) to the Alab 12

1st & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Dak Prescott sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 14

2nd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.48

Dak Prescott sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 21 Dak Prescott fumbled, recovered by MisSt

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 0Field Goal Good+39 yds

Westin Graves 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

Derrick Henry run for no gain to the Alab 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 15 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.28

Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the MisSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the MisSt 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jake Coker pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+32 yds

Adam Griffith 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tolando Cleveland

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brandon Holloway run for 7 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Derrick Henry run for 9 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +4.73

Derrick Henry run for 65 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return-29 ydsPPA -1.83

Dak Prescott pass intercepted Marlon Humphrey return for 29 yds to the MisSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Damien Harris run for no gain to the MisSt 24

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the MisSt 21

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the MisSt 19

4th & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.35

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the MisSt 17

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Nick Fitzgerald run for 13 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 37

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the MisSt 41

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 4 yds to the MisSt 44

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
20 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
21%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play