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← Back to GamesNov 29, 2015Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 29, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
2173738
Mississippi StateMississippi State
03101427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-143-213-2810-2813-3120-3827-38
Mississippi StateOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSOMMSOMMSMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMMSOMTO827ydTD462ydPUNT3-7ydTD968ydTD515ydFG958ydTD875ydPUNT3-6ydMISS844ydDOWNS844ydPUNT31ydEND3-9ydPUNT3-1ydTD546ydMISS1159ydFG1270ydFG744ydPUNT3-9ydTD765ydTD975ydPUNT736ydTD1064ydEND341yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Mississippi State
StatisticOle MissMississippi State
Passing21-3031-42
Pass Yards236254
Rush Yards243148
Total Yards479402
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-127-16
Penalties3-116-50
Possession30:2629:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Chad Kelly
21/30, 236 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaylen Walton
16 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Damore'ea Stringfellow
5 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
Mississippi State
passing
Dak Prescott
31/42, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dak Prescott
21 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Fred Ross
12 REC, 117 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 9 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Dak Prescott run for 6 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Holloway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 6 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Dear run for 1 yd to the Miss 48

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.38

Dak Prescott run for 10 yds to the Miss 38 Dak Prescott fumbled, recovered by Miss Chief Brown

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 18 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 15 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Chad Kelly 27 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Dak Prescott sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 5 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.20

Dak Prescott sacked by D.J. Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Collins Moore at the Miss 32

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Chad Kelly run for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 26 Chad Kelly fumbled, recovered by Miss Chad Kelly

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 15 yds to the Miss 41

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 12 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 17 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaylen Walton run for 17 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chad Kelly run for 4 yds to the MisSt 9

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.34

Chad Kelly run for 7 yds to the MisSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the MisSt 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Damore'ea Stringfellow 2 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Brandon Holloway run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 13 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 5 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Justin Malone) to the MisSt 40

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-45 ydsPPA -8.12

Tony Bridges 45 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Holloway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 3 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the Miss 44

2nd & 3Rush+35 ydsPPA +0.89

Dak Prescott run for 35 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dak Prescott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 7 yds to the Miss 4

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Justin Malone) to the Miss 9

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dak Prescott run for 4 yds to the Miss 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Westin Graves 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Chad Kelly run for 12 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 2 yds to the Miss 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 4 yds to the Miss 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.09

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 8 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Chad Kelly run for 9 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Damore'ea Stringfellow 36 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Prescott, Dak pass complete to Gray, Donald for 13 yards to the MISSSTATE34, PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference (Gray, Donald) 10 yards to the MISSSTATE11, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Brandon Holloway run for 3 yds to the MisSt 14

2nd & 17Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gabe Myles for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 10

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Dak Prescott run for 5 yds to the MisSt 15 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Darrion Hutcherson) declined

4th & 16Punt+49 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 49 yds , Collins Moore returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 35

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Akeem Judd run for 21 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chad Kelly run for 6 yds to the MisSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Jordan Wilkins run for 10 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell, broken up by Chris Jones

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 5 yds to the MisSt 21

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Gary Wunderlich 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.77

Malik Dear run for 21 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Dak Prescott sacked by Woodrow Hamilton for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 10 yds to the MisSt 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.75

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 4 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 5 yds to the Miss 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the Miss 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 1 yd to the Miss 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 46

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Malone) to the MisSt 36

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the MisSt 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dak Prescott pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 1 yd to the MisSt 44

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.72

Dak Prescott sacked by Channing Ward for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 37

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Cody Core

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Chad Kelly run for 2 yds to the Miss 24

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Gary Wunderlich punt for 37 yds , Fred Ross returns for 15 yds to the Miss 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dak Prescott run for 6 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 6 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Prescott, Dak pass incomplete to Brown, Fred, PENALTY OLEMISS offside (Nkemdiche, Robert) 5 yards to the OLEMISS29, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.28

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 24 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dak Prescott run for 3 yds to the Miss 2

2nd & 2Penalty+1 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Miss 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dak Prescott 1 Yd Run (Westin Graves Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 17 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 19 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylen Walton run for 6 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylen Walton run for 5 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Chad Kelly run for 6 yds to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the MisSt 14

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 16

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Gary Wunderlich 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 24 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 18 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brandon Holloway run for 6 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.82

Dak Prescott run for 4 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 2 yds to the Miss 26

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.52

Dak Prescott run for 16 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Westin Graves 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 18 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Akeem Judd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.40

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 26 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chad Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.74

Gary Wunderlich 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Dak Prescott sacked by Robert Nkemdiche for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 20

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Dak Prescott run for 8 yds to the MisSt 28

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.40

Dak Prescott sacked by Robert Nkemdiche and C.J. Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the MisSt 17

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 49 yds , Collins Moore returns for 1 yd to the Miss 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell, broken up by Cedric Jiles

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 12 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordan Wilkins run for 7 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Chad Kelly run for 8 yds to the MisSt 38 Chad Kelly fumbled, recovered by Miss Chad Kelly for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Jordan Wilkins 38 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dak Prescott pass complete to Joe Morrow for 9 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dak Prescott pass complete to Darrion Hutcherson for 4 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Malik Dear run for 8 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 6 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Brandon Holloway run for 10 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 4 yds to the Miss 26

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Brandon Holloway run for 13 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Malik Dear 13 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Westin Graves Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaylen Walton run for 9 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaylen Walton run for 3 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Miss 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 2 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (J.T. Gray) to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylen Walton run for 5 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 36

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MisSt 41

1st & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.95

Dak Prescott sacked by Breeland Speaks for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 8 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Dak Prescott run for 8 yds to the Miss 41

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Elgton Jenkins) to the Miss 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Holloway run for 3 yds to the Miss 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.98

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 28 yds to the Miss 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Donald Gray, broken up by Tony Bridges

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 8 yds to the Miss 7

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.95

Malik Dear 7 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Westin Graves Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Jaylen Walton run for 10 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaylen Walton run for 33 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 15

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
33 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
50%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play