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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2015Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 9.7

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 77%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 27, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
03003
ArkansasArkansas
7147028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-328-3
ArkansasMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKPUNT32ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydTD1153ydPUNT38ydTD984ydFG763ydTD1279ydEND1-2ydPUNT36ydPUNT732ydPUNT730ydPUNT3-5ydTD534ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1042ydTO831ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydTO40ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Arkansas
StatisticMissouriArkansas
Passing9-2711-17
Pass Yards83102
Rush Yards88208
Total Yards171310
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-136-15
Penalties2-181-5
Possession19:4540:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
9/27, 83 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ish Witter
6 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Wesley Leftwich
3 REC, 49 YDS
Arkansas
passing
Brandon Allen
11/17, 102 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Collins
30 CAR, 130 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Dominique Reed
4 REC, 37 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew Lock pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Hunter Henry, broken up by Kentrell Brothers

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Alex Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 11

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Russell Hansbrough run for 9 yds to the Misso 20

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyler Hunt run for 8 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd to the Misso 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Lock sacked by Deatrich Wise Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 25 Drew Lock fumbled, recovered by Misso Drew Lock , return for 0 yards

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ark 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Alex Collins run for 7 yds to the Ark 46

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Alex Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 45

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Brandon Allen sacked by Rickey Hatley for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 36

4th & 13Punt-5 yds

Toby Baker punt for 47 yds , Aarion Penton returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 12 Aarion Penton fumbled, recovered by Misso Aarion Penton

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 5 yds to the Misso 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 20

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kentrell Brothers, broken up by Brooks Ellis

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds, downed at the Ark 47

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Alex Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Brandon Allen pass complete to Alex Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 43

3rd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.45

Brandon Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 15 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the Misso 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Kody Walker run for 8 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the Misso 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kody Walker run for 5 yds to the Misso 21

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Alex Collins run for 6 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Misso 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 10 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Alex Collins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew Lock run for 1 yd to the Misso 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Drew Lock pass complete to Cam Hilton for 8 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ark 16

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Alex Collins run for 10 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 35

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Alex Collins run for 13 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Kody Walker run for 22 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kody Walker run for no gain to the Misso 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brandon Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 5 yds to the Misso 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 18 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Alex Collins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 35 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA -0.08

Ish Witter run for 17 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Ark 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Lock pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.22

Andrew Baggett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Brandon Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 9 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Alex Collins run for 6 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Ark 39

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Brandon Allen run for 6 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 7 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Brandon Allen run for no gain to the Misso 46

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.34

Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Dominique Reed, broken up by Kenya Dennis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.33

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 15 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Alex Collins run for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Ark 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Dominique Reed

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 21 , Aarion Penton returns for no gain to the Misso 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 12 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 35 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (Sean Culkin) to the Misso 25

1st & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for 6 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 15 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Lock pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Hunt run for 3 yds to the Ark 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Kody Walker run for 9 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Brandon Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 8 yds to the Ark 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Alex Collins run for 3 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 6 yds Drew Morgan fumbled, forced by Donavin Newsom, recovered by Ark Drew Morgan

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Kody Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 44 yds, downed at the Misso 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 6

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

4th & 15Punt+5 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 5 yds to the Misso 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Alex Collins run for 11 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Misso 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jared Cornelius run for 5 yds to the Misso 17

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jared Cornelius run for no gain to the Misso 17 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Kenya Dennis) to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Kody Walker run for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Sean Culkin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Lock pass incomplete, broken up by Taiwan Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Alex Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 25

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Allen run for 4 yds to the Ark 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 37 yds , Aarion Penton returns for no gain to the Misso 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Drew Lock run for 13 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Drew Lock run for 12 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 9 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Lock pass incomplete, broken up by Henre' Toliver

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Drew Lock run for no gain to the Ark 31

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Hunt run for 13 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jared Collins

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.41

Drew Lock sacked by Jeremiah Ledbetter and Taiwan Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 23

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.98

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Alex Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 21

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jared Cornelius

3rd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Alex Collins run for 17 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Brandon Allen pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 11 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Misso 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.74

Brandon Allen pass intercepted Aarion Penton return for no gain to the Misso 39

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Drew Lock sacked by Deatrich Wise Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 37

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ark 11

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

N/A run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 9

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Kody Walker run for 1 yd to the Ark 10

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kody Walker run for 4 yds to the Ark 14

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Toby Baker punt for 35 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 16 yds to the Ark 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Ish Witter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 35

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Hunt run for 2 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Sean Culkin

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.59

Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Liddell return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 24

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
82%
11 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play