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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2015Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Missouri 40%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 6, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7717031
MissouriMissouri
3100013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-713-1413-2413-31
MissouriMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSMISMSPUNT30ydTD462ydPUNT33ydPUNT516ydTO529ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-12ydTO411ydFG734ydTO1053ydPUNT510ydPUNT3-2ydFG47ydTD329ydTD1077ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-2ydEND320ydTD677ydTO10ydFG618ydPUNT618ydTD981ydPUNT39ydMISS919ydDOWNS1145ydPUNT831ydDOWNS981ydEND312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Missouri
StatisticMississippi StateMissouri
Passing27-4111-26
Pass Yards303107
Rush Yards127215
Total Yards430322
Turnovers22
3rd Down8-165-16
Penalties2-186-38
Possession29:3830:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Dak Prescott
27/40, 303 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Dak Prescott
14 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Fred Ross
11 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
11/26, 107 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Tyler Hunt
6 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Tyler Hunt
1 REC, 35 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 6 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew Lock sacked by Richie Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 11 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 15 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 36 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 1 yd to the Misso 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Russell Hansbrough

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Misso 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 36 yds, downed at the MisSt 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dak Prescott run for 9 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Dak Prescott pass complete to Donald Gray for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brandon Holloway run for 2 yds to the Misso 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Donald Gray

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Brandon Holloway

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 34 yds, downed at the Misso 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Misso 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 23

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Ish Witter run for 17 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.81

Drew Lock pass intercepted Gerri Green return for no gain to the Misso 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Ashton Shumpert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for no gain to the Misso 46

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.11

Dak Prescott sacked by Logan Cheadle for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Lock run for no gain to the Misso 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Lock sacked by Beniquez Brown and J.T. Gray for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 13

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 8

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 1 yd to the MisSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Aeris Williams

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.62

Dak Prescott run for 10 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.90

Brandon Holloway run for no gain to the MisSt 47 Brandon Holloway fumbled, forced by Kentrell Brothers, recovered by Misso Terry Beckner Jr.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the MisSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.51

Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 35 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Hunt run for no gain to the MisSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

4th & 13Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.07

Andrew Baggett 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.88

Dak Prescott pass complete to Darrion Hutcherson for 24 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Ashton Shumpert run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 39

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ashton Shumpert run for 7 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ashton Shumpert run for 2 yds to the Misso 45

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Dak Prescott run for 8 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 3 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Shumpert run for 2 yds to the Misso 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Dak Prescott pass complete to Darrion Hutcherson for 2 yds to the Misso 30

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.72

Dak Prescott run for 4 yds to the Misso 26 Dak Prescott fumbled, forced by Donavin Newsom, recovered by Misso Thomas Wilson

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Russell Hansbrough run for 9 yds to the Misso 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.19

Drew Lock sacked by A.J. Jefferson for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 30

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the Misso 36

4th & 12Punt+17 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds , Fred Ross returns for 17 yds to the MisSt 35

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Gabe Myles run for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 29

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Joe Morrow

4th & 12Blocked Punt-8 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Kentrell Brothers blocked by Kentrell Brothers

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the MisSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the MisSt 18

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the MisSt 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.57

Andrew Baggett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the Misso 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.88

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 28 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 24

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Drew Lock run for 16 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.67

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 9 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Ish Witter run for 13 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Russell Hansbrough run for 11 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the MisSt 14

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Russell Hansbrough run for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 3 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Gus Walley

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ish Witter at the Misso 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for 5 yds to the Misso 35

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Evan Boehm) to the Misso 25

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 24

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 28

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 20 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dak Prescott sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 43 Dak Prescott fumbled, forced by Walter Brady, recovered by MisSt Justin Malone , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Brown

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for 3 yds to the MisSt 26

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Dak Prescott run for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +4.64

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 63 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kenya Dennis) to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dak Prescott run for 3 yds to the Misso 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Dak Prescott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 5 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.22

Drew Lock pass intercepted Kivon Coman return for no gain to the Misso 37

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Thomas Richard) to the Misso 32

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dak Prescott run for 3 yds to the Misso 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Ashton Shumpert run for 4 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 6 yds to the Misso 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.43

Westin Graves 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 10 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Drew Lock sacked by Chris Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 44

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brandon Holloway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Brandon Holloway run for 9 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 7 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.76

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 25 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Gus Walley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 6 yds to the Misso 29

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Dak Prescott run for 17 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 4 yds to the Misso 8

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 8 yds for a TD, (Westin Graves KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ray Wingo run for 3 yds to the Misso 12

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.39

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 6

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Russell Hansbrough run for 12 yds to the Misso 18

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds, downed at the MisSt 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Holloway run for 4 yds to the Misso 47

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Aeris Williams run for 15 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gabe Myles for no gain to the Misso 25

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.58

Dak Prescott sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 35

3rd & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dak Prescott pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 13 yds to the Misso 22 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darrion Hutcherson) to the Misso 32

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Dak Prescott pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Westin Graves 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Cam Hilton

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.72

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 14 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason Reese

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 11 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 9 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.22

Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the MisSt 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason Reese

4th & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.14

Drew Lock run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 23

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Dak Prescott run for 13 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Shumpert run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Ashton Shumpert run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.36

Dak Prescott pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 8 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Aeris Williams run for 12 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Dak Prescott pass complete to Aeris Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 44

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Gabe Myles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 45 yds, downed at the Misso 1

1st & 10Rush+72 ydsPPA +4.25

Tyler Hunt run for 72 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Hunt run for 6 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 12 yds to the MisSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd to the MisSt 10

2nd & 9Penalty+2 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kivon Coman) to the MisSt -2 for a 1ST down

1st & -2Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 7

1st & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Drew Lock sacked by Richie Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Hunt run for 8 yds to the MisSt 7

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hall) to the MisSt 12

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.22

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 10

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 19

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays