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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2015Week 10
LSULSU
16
-Final
30
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Alabama 71%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 8, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
0100616
AlabamaAlabama
01314330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-710-1020-1027-1030-1030-16
AlabamaLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSULSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALADOWNS841ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT613ydPUNT636ydFG1587ydPUNT31ydTD357ydTD675ydPUNT3-6ydFG645ydFG628ydEND1-2ydTO10ydTD428ydPUNT69ydPUNT45ydPUNT36ydTD1173ydPUNT3-6ydFG727ydPUNT443ydTO215ydTD422ydEND1378yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Alabama
StatisticLSUAlabama
Passing6-1918-24
Pass Yards128184
Rush Yards54250
Total Yards182434
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-117-15
Penalties7-489-88
Possession20:3339:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Brandon Harris
6/19, 128 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Leonard Fournette
19 CAR, 31 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Travin Dural
2 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama
passing
Jake Coker
18/24, 184 YDS
rushing
Derrick Henry
38 CAR, 210 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
7 REC, 51 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 11 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Derrick Henry run for 6 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 10 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kenyan Drake run for 4 yds to the LSU 31

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Jake Coker run for no gain to the LSU 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin Dural

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Harris sacked by Tim Williams and Reggie Ragland for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 30

4th & 12Punt+12 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 56 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 12 yds to the Alab 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Alab 26

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Deion Jones) to the Alab 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Derrick Henry run for no gain to the Alab 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Coker run for 2 yds to the Alab 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 8Punt+50 yds

JK Scott punt for 50 yds , Donte Jackson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 11

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.27

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 6

3rd & 14Penalty-3 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Brandon Harris) to the LSU 3

3rd & 17Penalty-1 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Brandon Harris) to the LSU 2

3rd & 18Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.53

Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 37 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard Fournette

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Derrick Henry run for 11 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 14 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Kenyan Drake run for 18 yds to the ALABAMA 48 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kendell Beckwith) to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the LSU 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenyan Drake run for no gain to the LSU 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart

3rd & 10Penalty+12 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Corey Thompson) to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 3 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Coker run for 3 yds to the LSU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Adam Griffith 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin Dural

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Harris pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 15 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.08

Derrick Henry run for 40 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Brandon Harris run for 8 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darren Lake) to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 40

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.28

Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 40 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the Alab 36

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.21

Jake Coker sacked by Jalen Mills for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 26

3rd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Kenyan Drake run for 3 yds to the Alab 29

4th & 16Punt+6 yds

JK Scott punt for 45 yds , Donte Jackson returns for 6 yds to the LSU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 13 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cyrus Jones) to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Brandon Harris run for 16 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin Dural

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Alab 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to DeSean Smith

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.35

Trent Domingue 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 19 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 35

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Jake Coker sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 44

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 7 yds to the LSU 37

4th & 11Field Goal Good+55 ydsPPA +1.89

Adam Griffith 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Brandon Harris pass intercepted Dillon Lee return for 4 yds to the LSU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.30

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 25 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 10 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 34

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to John Diarse

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 38 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 11 yds to the Alab 45 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Michael Nysewander) to the Alab 29

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Kenyan Drake run for 16 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenyan Drake run for 4 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.67

Jake Coker sacked by Christian LaCouture for a loss of 12 yards to the Alab 37

3rd & 18Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 34

4th & 21Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 40 yds, downed at the LSU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin Dural

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 25 Derrick Henry fumbled, recovered by Alab Derrick Henry

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Richard Mullaney

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 14 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 6Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.96

Kenyan Drake run for 24 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the LSU 12

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Derrick Henry run for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.47

Brandon Harris sacked by Dillon Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 3

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 2

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Travin Dural

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 39

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Derrick Henry run for 10 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the LSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 10 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kenyan Drake run for 2 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Kenyan Drake run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 20

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ross Pierschbacher) to the LSU 30

3rd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 18 yds to the LSU 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.77

Adam Griffith 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.03

Brandon Harris pass complete to DeSean Smith for 26 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Leonard Fournette

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Colin Jeter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Brandon Harris pass complete to Jerald Hawkins for 2 yds to the Alab 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jamie Keehn punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 12 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.56

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 22 Derrick Henry fumbled, forced by Tashawn Bower, recovered by LSU Arden Key

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Leonard Fournette run for 18 yds to the Alab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 6

2nd & 6Penalty+4 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cyrus Jones) to the Alab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Alab 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 12

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 3 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Derrick Henry run for 2 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ross Pierschbacher) to the Alab 16

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Coker pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Derrick Henry run for 7 yds to the Alab 27

3rd & 9Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.64

Derrick Henry run for 29 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Duke Riley) to the LSU 24

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.23

Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 18

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
44%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
18%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play