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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Missouri 70%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
370010
MissouriMissouri
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-310-1017-1024-10
MissouriSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISSCMISPUNT30ydPUNT3-17ydTD1151ydPUNT411ydPUNT3-1ydFG532ydFG1172ydTD1475ydTD1165ydMISS949ydEND1-1ydTO727ydPUNT37ydTO636ydPUNT37ydTO22ydTD731ydPUNT629ydPUNT614ydPUNT1028ydEND1244yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Missouri
StatisticSouth CarolinaMissouri
Passing17-3021-28
Pass Yards186136
Rush Yards112163
Total Yards298299
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-149-16
Penalties4-353-29
Possession28:0431:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Lorenzo Lee Nunez
15/24, 172 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Lorenzo Lee Nunez
15 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Pharoh Cooper
9 REC, 102 YDS
Missouri
passing
Drew Lock
21/28, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ish Witter
17 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jason Reese
6 REC, 47 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Drew Lock pass complete to Clayton Echard for 6 yds to the Misso 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the Misso 49

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Shon Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 48

3rd & 13Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.96

Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 14 yards to the SCaro 34

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for 4 yds to the SCaro 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.31

Drew Lock pass complete to Cam Hilton for 9 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.79

Drew Lock run for 9 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the SCaro 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 4 yds to the SCaro 15

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Carlton Heard for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Matrick Belton

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 36

4th & 14Punt+10 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 54 yds , Cam Hilton returns for 10 yds to the Misso 46 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Misso 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 10

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Lock sacked by Cedrick Cooper for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 1

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the Misso 9

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the Misso 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.15

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 35 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Pharoh Cooper pass incomplete to Shon Carson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to David Williams

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 16

4th & 13Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.16

Elliott Fry 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Ish Witter run for 17 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Drew Lock run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 40 Drew Lock fumbled, recovered by Misso

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the Misso 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.62

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 5 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason Reese

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Ish Witter run for 15 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.65

Russell Hansbrough run for 24 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the SCaro 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Lock run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason Reese

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Andrew Baggett 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Lorenzo Nunez run for 6 yds to the SCaro 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Matrick Belton for 10 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Jerell Adams

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the SCaro 46

4th & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.08

David Williams run for 16 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 8 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.18

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.69

David Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Terry Googer for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the Misso 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Shon Carson for 8 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 9 yds to the Misso 40

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the MISSOURI 43 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Misso 47

1st & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.54

Drew Lock sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Drew Lock pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for 9 yds to the Misso 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.79

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 17 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 6 yds to the SCaro 28

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 9 yds to the SCaro 9

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 17 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 21 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the Misso 36

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the Misso 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 13 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

David Williams run for no gain to the Misso 20

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.44

Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Kentrell Brothers and Donavin Newsom for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 26

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Perry Orth pass complete to David Williams for 5 yds to the Misso 21

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 26

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Elliott Fry 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shon Carson run for no gain to the SCaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 6 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Lorenzo Nunez run for 7 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Shon Carson run for 1 yd to the Misso 48

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -2.38

Lorenzo Nunez pass intercepted Kenya Dennis return for 1 yd to the Misso 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 3 yds to the Misso 33

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the SCaro 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 43

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.87

David Williams run for 9 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.90

Lorenzo Nunez run for 19 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for no gain to the Misso 29

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.68

Lorenzo Nunez pass intercepted Ian Simon return for no gain to the Misso 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Hunt run for 2 yds to the Misso 4

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Hunt run for 5 yds to the Misso 9

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds, downed at the SCaro 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -2.14

Lorenzo Nunez pass intercepted Walter Brady return for 22 yds to the SCaro 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the SCaro 24

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Ish Witter run for 6 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Ray Wingo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 10 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 5 yds to the SCaro 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the SCaro 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ish Witter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Lorenzo Nunez run for 7 yds to the SCaro 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Kyle Markway for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

David Williams run for 13 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

David Williams run for 3 yds to the Misso 38

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shon Carson run for no gain to the Misso 38

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 48

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Lorenzo Nunez run for 2 yds to the Misso 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cam Hilton at the Misso 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 12

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 11

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Hunt run for 10 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 3 yds to the Misso 25

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 32

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Matrick Belton

3rd & 12Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.85

Lorenzo Nunez run for 29 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Perry Orth pass incomplete to Jerell Adams

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

David Williams run for no gain to the Misso 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds to the Misso 32

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Perry Orth run for 3 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Perry Orth run for 4 yds to the Misso 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Perry Orth pass incomplete to Carlton Heard

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Misso 40

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Perry Orth pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds, downed at the Misso 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 6

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.85

Ish Witter run for 13 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 7 yds to the Misso 26

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Drew Lock run for 4 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 33

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Ish Witter run for 8 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Chase Abbington run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 49

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 48

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
15%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
29 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays