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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5
Ole MissOle Miss
10
-Final
38
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 0.3

Home Win Probability

Florida 49%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
003710
FloridaFlorida
131201338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284213-025-025-328-338-10
FloridaOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOOMFLOPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-4ydTD561ydTO23ydTD524ydPUNT519ydPUNT628ydMISS980ydPUNT33ydPUNT5-1ydTD381ydPUNT729ydTD1391ydEND225ydFG1970ydPUNT614ydTO316ydFG737ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydTO821ydFG40ydTO2-10ydTD11ydTD775ydEND616yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Florida
StatisticOle MissFlorida
Passing26-4024-29
Pass Yards259271
Rush Yards6984
Total Yards328355
Turnovers40
3rd Down5-148-16
Penalties5-306-51
Possession28:1031:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Chad Kelly
26/40, 259 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chad Kelly
15 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Laquon Treadwell
5 REC, 42 YDS
Florida
passing
Will Grier
24/29, 271 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kelvin Taylor
27 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Demarcus Robinson
8 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 1 yd to the Fla 26

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Will Grier sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 22

4th & 13Punt-6 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 57 yds , Carlos Davis returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 17

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.46

Chad Kelly sacked by Jarrad Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 8

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Miss 11

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 14 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Miss 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Miss 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 4 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Demarcus Robinson 36 Yd pass from Will Grier (Jorge Powell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.53

Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 28 Jaylen Walton fumbled, recovered by Fla Bryan Cox , return for 4 yds to the Miss 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Grier pass incomplete to Kelvin Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Miss 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 5 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Kelvin Taylor run for 11 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jake McGee 2 Yd pass from Will Grier (Jorge Powell PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Markell Pack run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 10 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-19 ydsPPA -2.40

TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Miss 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Miss Chad Kelly

2nd & 29Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 6 yds to the Miss 25

3rd & 23Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.75

Chad Kelly run for 19 yds to the Miss 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 29 yds, downed at the Fla 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Kelvin Taylor run for 5 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 16 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (David Sharpe) to the Fla 45

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.90

Will Grier sacked by D.J. Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 39 Will Grier fumbled, forced by D.J. Jones, recovered by Fla David Sharpe , return for 0 yards

3rd & 24Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.98

Kelvin Taylor run for 16 yds to the Miss 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.16

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 22 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 15 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 9 yds to the Fla 46

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caleb Brantley) to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Chad Kelly run for 9 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Wilkins run for 14 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea Stringfellow

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 8 yds to the Fla 12

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Gary Wunderlich 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 6 yds to the Fla 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Grier pass incomplete to Demarcus Robinson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 46 yds, downed at the Miss 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylen Walton run for 2 yds to the Miss 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Chad Kelly pass complete to Hunter Thurley for 12 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.73

Chad Kelly sacked by Taven Bryan for a loss of 11 yards to the Miss 34

2nd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 10 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.82

Chad Kelly sacked by Jarrad Davis and Jonathan Bullard for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 35

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 30

4th & 25Punt+50 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 50 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Grier pass incomplete to Demarcus Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Fla 23

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +7.01

Brandon Powell 77 Yd pass from Will Grier (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jaylen Walton run for 9 yds to the Miss 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 12 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chad Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Chad Kelly run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Antonio Callaway at the Fla 9

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 12 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the Fla 6

1st & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Fla 7

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Kelvin Taylor run for 8 yds to the Fla 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 5 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Grier pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the Fla 28

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Kelvin Taylor run for 13 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 16 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Grier pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 5 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Grier pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 12 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Grier pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 3 yds to the Miss 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Antonio Callaway 15 Yd pass from Will Grier (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 14 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaylen Walton run for 7 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 11 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Jaylen Walton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 38

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jonathan Bullard) to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Chad Kelly run for 2 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 6 yds to the Fla 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for 3 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Fla 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33

4th & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 9 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Chad Kelly run for 7 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylen Walton run for 5 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Chad Kelly pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 8 yds to the Fla 4

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chad Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 6

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.78

Chad Kelly run for 5 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaylen Walton run for no gain to the Fla 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Gary Wunderlich 22 Yd Field Goal

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Nathan Noble kickoff for 59 yds , Brandon Powell return for 16 yds to the Fla 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 9 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 3 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.26

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Grier pass incomplete to Brandon Powell

4th & 10Punt+39 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 54 yds , Carlos Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 35 FLORIDA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Miss 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 16 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.24

Chad Kelly run for 15 yds to the 45 yard line Chad Kelly fumbled, forced by Marcus Maye, recovered by Fla Alex McCalister , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 4 yds to the Miss 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kelvin Taylor run for 2 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Will Grier pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 10 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Miss 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kelvin Taylor run for 1 yd to the Miss 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 6 yds to the Miss 12

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.73

Jorge Powell 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Cody Core

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for 5 yds to the Miss 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 49 yds , Antonio Callaway returns for 8 yds to the Fla 44

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 41

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Grier pass complete to Ahmad Fulwood for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will Grier pass incomplete to Ahmad Fulwood

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for 5 yds to the Miss 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 9 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Chad Kelly run for 12 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chad Kelly pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Miss 30

4th & 15Pass Interception Return-31 ydsPPA +0.31

Chad Kelly pass intercepted Vernon Hargreaves III return for 36 yds to the FLORIDA 34 OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (-5 Yards) to the Miss 5

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fla Will Grier Will Grier run for 2 yds to the Miss 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Miss 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 1 yd to the Miss 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Jorge Powell 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Sack+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Chad Kelly sacked by Alex McCalister for a loss of 10 yards to the Miss 1 Chad Kelly fumbled, recovered by Fla Cece Jefferson , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds to the Miss 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Cronkrite 1 Yd Run (Jorge Powell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 16 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Chad Kelly pass complete to Akeem Judd for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 38

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.36

Chad Kelly pass complete to Derrick Jones for 23 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Chad Kelly pass complete to Derrick Jones for 16 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Eugene Brazley run for 11 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Markell Pack 7 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the Miss 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kelvin Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 34

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Miss 31

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
34 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
67%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays