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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2015Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 9.5

Home Win Probability

Auburn 77%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
707721
AuburnAuburn
1477735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-1428-1428-2135-21
AuburnSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSAUBSJSAUBPUNT31ydTO523ydTD523ydTD969ydTD760ydDOWNS644ydPUNT38ydTO729ydMISS44ydTO936ydTD974ydEND12ydTD1475ydTD824ydPUNT520ydMISS1579ydTD880ydTD245ydTO728ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Auburn
StatisticSan José StateAuburn
Passing21-336-10
Pass Yards224108
Rush Yards182234
Total Yards406342
Turnovers40
3rd Down6-126-11
Penalties2-151-15
Possession33:5726:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Joe Gray
21/33, 224 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyler Ervin
27 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Winston
4 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
Auburn
passing
Sean White
6/10, 108 YDS
rushing
Peyton Barber
28 CAR, 147 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Ricardo Louis
3 REC, 47 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the SJSt 39

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Sean White run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Sean White pass incomplete, broken up by Andre Chachere

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 33 yds, downed at the SJSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Joe Gray pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.40

Tyler Ervin run for 19 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Joe Gray pass complete to Shane Smith for 9 yds to the SJSt 38

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Tyler Ervin rush up the middle for 3 yards to the SJ41 (Johnathan Ford), PENALTY SJ holding (Josh Oliver) 10 yards to the SJ28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Gray pass intercepted Justin Garrett return for 11 yds to the SJSt 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 15

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 16

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ricardo Louis run for 11 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the Aub 45

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.61

Tim Crawley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 47

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the Aub 44

4th & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.11

Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 24 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 7 yds to the Aub 13

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Aub 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Gray pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 18 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.17

Sean White pass complete to Roc Thomas for 42 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean White run for 1 yd to the SJSt 17 Sean White fumbled, forced by Vincente Jr. Miles, recovered by Aub Sean White

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 10

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Peyton Barber run for 9 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Peyton Barber run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyler Ervin run for 26 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 11 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the Aub 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Hansell Wilson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 3 yds to the Aub 31

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler Winston

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Peyton Barber run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 28

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean White pass incomplete to Jason Smith

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Sean White pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 11 yds to the Aub 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 7 yds to the SJSt 20

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.54

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 8 yds Hansell Wilson fumbled, forced by Johnathan Ford, recovered by Aub Dontavius Russell

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ricardo Louis run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 2 yds to the SJSt 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Sean White pass incomplete to Ricardo Louis

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Daniel Carlson 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 3 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the Aub 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jarrod Lawson run for 1 yd to the Aub 41

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarrod Lawson run for 10 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the Aub 22

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.54

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the Aub 26 Tyler Ervin fumbled, forced by Montravius Adams, recovered by Aub Jonathan Jones

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 32

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Sean White run for 8 yds to the Aub 43 Sean White fumbled, forced by Team, for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Sean White pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 17 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Roc Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Ricardo Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

N/A run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.52

Sean White pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 31 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the SJSt 5 Peyton Barber fumbled, forced by Nick Oreglia, recovered by Aub Peyton Barber

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 2 yds to the SJSt 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Malik Roberson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Malik Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Malik Roberson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.99

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 11 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the Aub 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 13 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Hansell Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23 Hansell Wilson fumbled, recovered by SJSt Hansell Wilson , return for 2 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Joe Gray pass complete to Malik Roberson for 17 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the Aub 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the Aub 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Joe Gray run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the SJSt 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sean White pass incomplete to Melvin Ray, broken up by Vincente Jr. Miles

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Sean White run for 5 yds to the SJSt 15

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the SJSt 9

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.09

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 7 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joe Gray run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the Aub 17

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean White pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 5 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Roc Thomas run for 7 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.08

Roc Thomas run for 22 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Roc Thomas run for 7 yds to the SJSt 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the SJSt 20

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the SJSt 14

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ricardo Louis run for 6 yds to the SJSt 8

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the SJSt 8

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Daniel Carlson 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 9 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Tyler Ervin run for 19 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the Aub 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 17 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the Aub 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.47

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 11 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the Aub 17

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Joe Gray right endzone pass incomplete to Tyler Winston (Blake Countess), PENALTY AU pass interference (Blake Countess) 15 yards to the AU2, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Peyton Barber run for 9 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +2.52

Peyton Barber run for 36 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Joe Gray, broken up by Tray Matthews

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joe Gray run for no gain to the SJSt 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 11 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 20 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Joe Gray sacked by Cassanova McKinzy for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 40

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Billy Freeman

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.58

Joe Gray pass intercepted Carlton Davis return for no gain to the Aub 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the Aub 39

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.80

Peyton Barber run for 28 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 36

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 39

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play