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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2015Week 2
ToledoToledo
16
-Final
12
ArkansasArkansas

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 6.3

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 12, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
637016
ArkansasArkansas
070512

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-67-67-97-1610-1612-16
ArkansasToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLARKTOLARKTOLARKTOLARKTOLARKARKTOLARKTOLARKTOLARKTOLARKPUNT741ydPUNT833ydTD525ydMISS955ydMISS1662ydTD888ydPUNT38ydDOWNS838ydFG845ydEND414ydPUNT518ydPUNT32ydTO419ydTD1080ydFG2173ydPUNT618ydDOWNS1265ydSAF4-8ydEND752yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Arkansas
StatisticToledoArkansas
Passing21-3832-53
Pass Yards237412
Rush Yards81103
Total Yards318515
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-175-13
Penalties8-559-85
Possession22:0537:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Phillip Ely
21/38, 237 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damion Jones-Moore
11 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Corey Jones
8 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
Arkansas
passing
Brandon Allen
32/53, 412 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Collins
20 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hunter Henry
8 REC, 117 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Phillip Ely pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 17 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 4 yds to the Toled 48

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.85

Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 32 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 30

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Marc Remy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 32

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey Jones

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 32 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Brandon Allen pass complete to Alex Collins for 2 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 7 yds to the Ark 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.70

Kody Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 49

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Allen run for 4 yds to the Toled 47

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.10

Corey Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.15

Phillip Ely pass complete to Kishon Wilcher for 25 yds to the Ark 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Corey Jones 5 Yd pass from Phillip Ely (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.43

Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 22 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 19 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 7 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Alex Collins run for 9 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Cole Hedlund 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-13 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-13 Yards) to the Toled 16

2nd & 18Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.80

Phillip Ely pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 27 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Damion Jones-Moore run for 6 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Ark 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Marc Remy run for 7 yds to the Ark 36

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Marc Remy run for 2 yds to the Ark 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 12 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Toled

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Phillip Ely pass complete to Marc Remy for 9 yds to the Ark 17

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 22

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 13 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marc Remy run for 2 yds to the Ark 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Phillip Ely run for 3 yds to the Ark 4

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+26 yds

Jameson Vest 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeremiah Ledbetter Josh Williams return for 1 yd to the Ark 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Collins run for 3 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.76

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 18 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Alex Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.36

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 26 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.69

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 28 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Damon Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Toled 21

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.64

Alex Collins 21 Yd Run (Cole Hedlund Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marc Remy run for 3 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Phillip Ely pass complete to Marc Remy for 5 yds to the Toled 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Kody Walker run for 11 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 14 yds to the Toledo 47 ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 43

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ark 38

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 17 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kody Walker run for no gain to the Toled 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 9 yds to the Toled 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.63

Alex Collins run for no gain to the Toled 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Marc Remy run for 11 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 24 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 3 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 7 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey Jones

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.28

Jameson Vest 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 14 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 18 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ark 43

1st & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon Allen pass complete to Alex Collins for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 18Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 40

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Ark 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 13 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Toby Baker punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 21

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Phillip Ely pass complete to Marc Remy for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Toled 23

4th & 8Punt+43 yds

Michael Julian punt for 36 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 43 yds to the ARKANSAS 34 ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Toled 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 15 yds to the Toled 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rawleigh Williams run for 4 yds to the Toled 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Brandon Allen pass intercepted, touchback. DeJuan Rogers return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 5 yds to the Toled 25

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.61

Damion Jones-Moore run for 27 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 5 yds to the Ark 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the Ark 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 18 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marc Remy run for 3 yds to the Ark 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Phillip Ely pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 6 yds to the Ark 14

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Damion Jones-Moore 11 Yd Run (Jameson Vest Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Brandon Allen run for 9 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jared Cornelius

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.65

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 14 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Alex Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 11 yds to the Toled 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 45

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Brandon Allen run for 10 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 11 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Keon Hatcher run for no gain to the Toled 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 3 yds to the Toled 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Brandon Allen pass complete to Rawleigh Williams for 6 yds to the Toled 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Alex Collins run for 8 yds to the Toled 5

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Alex Collins run for no gain to the Toled 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Alex Collins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Hedlund 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Toled 13

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Phillip Ely pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 9 yds to the Toled 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 9 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marc Remy run for 3 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marc Remy run for 4 yds to the Toled 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Toled 36

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 8 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Alex Collins run for 10 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 10 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 17 yds to the Toled 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 13 yds to the Toled 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Collins run for no gain to the Toled 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 10 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 7 yds to the Toled 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the Toled 10

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Damion Jones-Moore run for 1 yd to the Toled 11

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 14

4th & 4Safety-14 ydsPPA -1.73

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.11

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 18 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 16 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Hunter Henry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brandon Allen pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
35 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
16 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays