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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 4.1

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
0140014
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
3520331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-05-05-148-1415-1428-1431-14
South CarolinaUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCUCFSCUCFSCUCFSCUCFUCFSCUCFSCUCFUCFSCUCFSCUCFSCUCFSCUCFSCUCFSCFG1240ydPUNT513ydMISS733ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT525ydSAF1-2ydPUNT30ydPUNT622ydTD11ydPUNT512ydTD793ydFG1062ydEND29ydPUNT36ydPUNT412ydPUNT513ydTD474ydTO37ydTD440ydTO324ydTD454ydDOWNS1239ydFG1349ydDOWNS1018ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and South Carolina
StatisticUCFSouth Carolina
Passing23-3812-25
Pass Yards204184
Rush Yards26216
Total Yards230400
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-127-16
Penalties5-312-20
Possession26:0633:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Bo Schneider
20/35, 189 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
C.J. Jones
9 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Tre'Quan Smith
5 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
South Carolina
passing
Lorenzo Lee Nunez
12/22, 184 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lorenzo Lee Nunez
18 CAR, 123 YDS
receiving
Pharoh Cooper
4 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete, broken up by Drico Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shon Carson run for no gain to the SCaro 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Lorenzo Nunez run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.67

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

David Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Pharoh Cooper run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Jerell Adams

4th & 11Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA +1.62

Elliott Fry 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Skai Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 45 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 15 yds to the SCaro 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 8 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.82

Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 42

3rd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.96

Lorenzo Nunez run for 23 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Pharoh Cooper run for 1 yd to the UCF 29

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 31

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Elliott Fry 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UCF 33

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.54

Bo Schneider sacked by Boosie Whitlow for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 23

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 15 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the UCF 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

David Williams run for no gain to the UCF 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCF 2

1st & 10Safety-2 ydsPPA -2.02

Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Perry Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Perry Orth pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Perry Orth pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the UCF 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Franks for 13 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Bo Schneider pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Bo Schneider pass complete to Cal Bloom for 7 yds to the UCF 48

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, illegal procedure (Pat Jasinski) to the UCF 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 53 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for no gain to the SCaro 1 Pharoh Cooper fumbled, recovered by UCF T.J. Mutcherson

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Nick Patti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Shamier Jeffery for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper, broken up by Kyle Gibson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

4th & 9Punt+56 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 50 yds UCF Penalty, Offensive holding (T.J. Mutcherson) to the UCF 7

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JONES, C.J. rush for loss of 3 yards to the UCF4 (Larenz Bryant), PENALTY SC personal foul (Larenz Bryant) 15 yards to the UCF22, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 12 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

C.J. Jones run for no gain to the UCF 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 11 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.25

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 12 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Bo Schneider pass complete to Chris Johnson for 14 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SCaro 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jerell Adams for 17 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Lorenzo Nunez run for 29 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.21

David Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Carlton Heard for 15 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, encroachment (Tony Guerad) to the UCF 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the UCF 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Jerell Adams, broken up by Chequan Burkett

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.60

Elliott Fry 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

C.J. Jones run for 6 yds to the UCF 34

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, false start (Cal Bloom) to the UCF 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

C.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the UCF 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan Payton, broken up by T.J. Holloman

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 18 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shon Carson run for 3 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.53

Lorenzo Nunez sacked by Jeremy Boykins for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 43

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Shon Carson

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Johnson at the UCF 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 12 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Al Harris Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 26

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Lorenzo Nunez run for 23 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Shon Carson run for 8 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.27

Shon Carson run for 14 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Pharoh Cooper run for 29 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Patti run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Patti run for 6 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.53

Bo Schneider pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for no gain to the UCF 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Carlton Heard for 23 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

David Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Lorenzo Nunez run for 3 yds to the UCF 13

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Jacob August for 13 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Bo Schneider pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 7 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 17 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -2.34

Bo Schneider pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for 8 yds to the SCaro 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SCaro 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Shamier Jeffery, broken up by Jerod Boykins

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.31

Lorenzo Nunez run for 19 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Lorenzo Nunez pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cedric Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Nick Patti pass complete to Chris Johnson for 7 yds to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 6 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Schneider pass complete to Blake Tiralosi for 3 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Patti pass complete to Tristan Payton for 4 yds to the SCaro 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Bo Schneider pass complete to Tristan Payton for 8 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Patti pass complete to D'erren Wilson for 4 yds to the SCaro 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Blake Tiralosi

4th & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.77

Bo Schneider pass complete to Cedric Thompson for no gain to the SCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.58

David Williams run for 15 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lorenzo Nunez run for 5 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

David Williams run for 1 yd to the UCF 34

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

David Williams run for 5 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Shon Carson run for 6 yds to the UCF 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

David Williams run for 3 yds to the UCF 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

David Williams run for no gain to the UCF 20

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

David Williams run for 3 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

David Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 21

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Lorenzo Nunez run for 3 yds to the UCF 18

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Jerell Adams) to the UCF 23

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Lorenzo Nunez run for 8 yds to the UCF 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.35

Elliott Fry 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bo Schneider pass complete to Jordan Franks for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Bo Schneider pass complete to Nick Patti for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Schneider pass complete to C.J. Jones for 5 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Schneider pass complete to Nick Patti for 4 yds to the UCF 45

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Tristan Payton

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Bo Schneider run for 2 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Schneider pass complete to Blake Tiralosi for 5 yds to the SCaro 48

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.76

Bo Schneider sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 43

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Blake Tiralosi, broken up by Skai Moore

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Schneider pass incomplete to Chris Johnson, broken up by Isaiah Johnson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play