Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 31%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
703313
KentuckyKentucky
077721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-1021-1021-13
KentuckyMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENPUNT634ydPUNT512ydTD1380ydTD982ydPUNT622ydPUNT956ydPUNT743ydEND827ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT830ydPUNT3-3ydFG736ydTD975ydPUNT529ydPUNT39ydPUNT638ydTD993ydFG1268ydEND718yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Kentucky
StatisticMissouriKentucky
Passing18-3522-27
Pass Yards227249
Rush Yards111120
Total Yards338369
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-149-14
Penalties3-308-91
Possession28:5831:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Maty Mauk
15/30, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ish Witter
11 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Wesley Leftwich
3 REC, 44 YDS
Kentucky
passing
Patrick Towles
22/27, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jojo Kemp
13 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Garrett Johnson
6 REC, 119 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Maty Mauk pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 8 yds to the Misso 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Maty Mauk run for no gain to the Misso 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 4 yds to the Misso 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Timmons at the Kent 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 7 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Patrick Towles pass complete to Patrick Towles for 1 yd to the Kent 30

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Landon Foster punt for 51 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 1 yd to the Misso 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 23

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.87

Maty Mauk run for 2 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Maty Mauk sacked by Denzil Ware for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 36

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Ish Witter run for 11 yds to the Misso 47

3rd & 3Penalty+7 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Maty Mauk pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 8 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Hunt run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Maty Mauk run for 11 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Kent 24

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Kent 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Maty Mauk pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for 7 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 17 Russell Hansbrough fumbled, recovered by Misso Russell Hansbrough

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.02

Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

KENTUCKY penalty Holding (-4 yards), KENTUCKY penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards)

1st & 29Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Stanley Williams run for 11 yds to the Kent 21 Stanley Williams fumbled, recovered by Kent

2nd & 18Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 28 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 24 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 2 yds to the Misso 19

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Misso 10

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 14

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.15

Patrick Towles 14 Yd Run (Austin MacGinnis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Maty Mauk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ish Witter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Maty Mauk pass complete to Ray Wingo for 13 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Hunt run for 4 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 55 yds, downed at the Kent 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the Kent 8

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ryan Timmons run for 4 yds to the Kent 12

3rd & 2Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.24

Patrick Towles pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 28 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.94

Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 9 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Patrick Towles pass complete to Stanley Williams for no gain to the Misso 42

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Misso 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Landon Foster punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aarion Penton at the Misso 10

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Drew Lock run for 11 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.41

Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 28 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Drew Lock pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.42

Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 20 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall

3rd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.86

Drew Lock sacked by Cory Johnson and TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the Kent 47

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Timmons at the Kent 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Mikel Horton run for 2 yds to the Kent 4

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mikel Horton run for 4 yds to the Kent 8

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Badet for 7 yds to the Kent 23

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Mikel Horton run for 6 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 29

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.36

Patrick Towles sacked by Donavin Newsom for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 41

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Landon Foster punt for 38 yds, downed at the Misso 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Maty Mauk pass complete to Jason Reese for 11 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.32

Maty Mauk pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 9 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Chase Abbington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 42

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 32

2nd & 21Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Maty Mauk run for 14 yds to the Misso 46

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Kent 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryan Timmons at the Kent 15

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Stanley Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 12

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Stanley Williams

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.07

Maty Mauk pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 28 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Kent 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Maty Mauk run for 3 yds to the Kent 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Baggett 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Patrick Towles run for 6 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Jojo Kemp run for 10 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Patrick Towles sacked by Walter Brady for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Towles pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 3 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Badet

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Jojo Kemp run for 10 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the Misso 26

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.10

Jojo Kemp run for 17 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Misso 24

1st & 24Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.48

Patrick Towles pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the Misso 19

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Maty Mauk run for 7 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus McWilson) to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Maty Mauk run for no gain to the Misso 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley Leftwich

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ray Wingo

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds , Ryan Timmons returns for 9 yds to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Kent 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 37

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Landon Foster punt for 50 yds , Aarion Penton returns for 5 yds to the Misso 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Maty Mauk pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 9 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Maty Mauk pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 7 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ray Wingo

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the Kent 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Keyon Dilosa

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, downed at the Kent 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.56

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 35 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 6 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 25 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 30

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Misso 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Patrick Towles pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 24 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Nate Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Maty Mauk pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.01

Maty Mauk pass complete to Jason Reese for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Maty Mauk pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 16 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Maty Mauk run for 13 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Maty Mauk pass complete to Jason Reese for 8 yds to the Kent 6

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 8

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Maty Mauk pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Chase Abbington

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Maty Mauk run for 2 yds to the Kent 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Andrew Baggett 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jojo Kemp run for 8 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 37

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for no gain to the Kent 37

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
30 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
45%
11 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th