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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Auburn 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
773017
AuburnAuburn
00639

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-143-146-146-179-17
AuburnMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSAUBMSTO1370ydTD1079ydPUNT39ydPUNT513ydPUNT614ydTD1179ydMISS1567ydEND14ydTO721ydFG643ydPUNT3-2ydFG1254ydFG848ydPUNT729ydPUNT740ydPUNT417ydPUNT34ydPUNT5-5ydPUNT516ydFG1156ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Auburn
StatisticMississippi StateAuburn
Passing29-4120-28
Pass Yards270188
Rush Yards56201
Total Yards326389
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-124-14
Penalties4-306-40
Possession23:5036:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Dak Prescott
29/41, 270 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brandon Holloway
5 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Fred Ross
7 REC, 66 YDS
Auburn
passing
Sean White
20/28, 188 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Peyton Barber
27 CAR, 137 YDS
receiving
Duke Williams
4 REC, 49 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Aub 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Sean White pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Sean White sacked by Richie Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.92

Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 18 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Sean White pass complete to Melvin Ray for 11 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.31

Stanton Truitt run for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 22 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the MisSt 11

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Sean White run for 6 yds to the MisSt 5

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -4.35

Sean White pass intercepted Will Redmond return for 19 yds to the MisSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 12 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Dak Prescott pass complete to Malik Dear for 8 yds to the MisSt 41 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 31

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Gabe Myles run for 2 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Brandon Holloway run for 11 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 8 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Dak Prescott pass complete to Malik Dear for 9 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 6 yds to the Aub 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 5 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Ashton Shumpert run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 32

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.85

Gabe Myles 32 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Westin Graves Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Marcus Davis fumbled, run for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 17

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Peyton Barber run for 11 yds to the Aub 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Sean White pass complete to Jason Smith for 6 yds to the Aub 34

4th & 1Punt+29 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the AUBURN 32 AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 5 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Brandon Holloway run for 6 yds to the MisSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dak Prescott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dak Prescott pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 5 yds to the Aub 45

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the Aub 15

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the Aub 20

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean White pass complete to Melvin Ray for 4 yds to the Aub 24

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Sean White pass complete to Chandler Cox for 10 yds to the Aub 34

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 49 yds , Fred Ross returns for 4 yds to the MisSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 6 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Dak Prescott pass complete to Malik Dear for 4 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 5 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 26

3rd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.96

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 19 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 18 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 21 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Gus Walley

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Gabe Myles run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 17

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.38

De'Runnya Wilson 17 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Westin Graves Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 4 yds to the Aub 28

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Aub 23

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.57

Kerryon Johnson run for 11 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Stanton Truitt run for 10 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 10 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Roc Thomas run for 12 yds to the MisSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peyton Barber run for 5 yds to the MisSt 9

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Peyton Barber run for 7 yds to the MisSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the MisSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the MisSt 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 9 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Aub Peyton Barber

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Daniel Carlson 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ashton Shumpert run for 4 yds to the MisSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dak Prescott run for 1 yd to the MisSt 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Brown

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.15

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Brown for 17 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Ashton Shumpert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 9 yds to the Aub 40

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.77

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for a loss of 4 yards Gus Walley fumbled, recovered by Aub Jonathan Jones

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 39

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.48

Peyton Barber run for 14 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 1Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.54

Sean White run for 31 yds to the MisSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Peyton Barber run for 4 yds to the MisSt 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the MisSt 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Sean White run for 1 yd to the MisSt 8

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 13

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.53

Daniel Carlson 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dak Prescott run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dak Prescott pass complete to Brandon Holloway for no gain to the MisSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 23

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 42 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 4 yds to the Aub 39

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Roc Thomas run for 9 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean White run for 1 yd to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Peyton Barber run for 9 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Peyton Barber run for 2 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Peyton Barber run for 18 yds to the MisSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 27

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Sean White run for 13 yds to the MisSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Peyton Barber run for 3 yds to the MisSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Peyton Barber run for no gain to the MisSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean White run for 3 yds to the MisSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean White pass incomplete to Stanton Truitt

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Daniel Carlson 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Dak Prescott pass complete to Ashton Shumpert for 18 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 2 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 9 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Ashton Shumpert

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Dak Prescott run for 8 yds to the Aub 27

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 2Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA -0.09

Westin Graves 44 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Sean White run for 11 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Peyton Barber run for 1 yd to the Aub 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Sean White pass complete to Melvin Ray for 9 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Sean White pass complete to Roc Thomas for 13 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Roc Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Sean White pass complete to Roc Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Sean White pass incomplete to Melvin Ray

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 7 yds to the MisSt 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Dak Prescott pass complete to De'Runnya Wilson for 6 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Holloway run for 5 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Brandon Holloway run for 14 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ashton Shumpert run for 3 yds to the Aub 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gabe Myles for 5 yds to the Aub 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Sean White pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 17 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sean White pass incomplete to Peyton Barber

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus Davis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean White pass incomplete to Jason Smith

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to De'Runnya Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ashton Shumpert run for 4 yds to the MisSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dak Prescott pass incomplete to Fred Ross

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Sean White pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 6 yds to the Aub 22

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Peyton Barber run for 8 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.59

Sean White sacked by A.J. Jefferson for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 19 Sean White fumbled, recovered by Aub

2nd & 21Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean White pass complete to Roc Thomas for 1 yd to the Aub 20

3rd & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean White sacked by Beniquez Brown and Brandon Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 11

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Kevin Phillips punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Fred Ross at the MisSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dak Prescott pass complete to Fred Ross for 5 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Brandon Holloway run for 6 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dak Prescott pass complete to Gus Walley for 5 yds to the Aub 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the Aub 40

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Dak Prescott run for no gain to the Aub 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Sean White pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 8 yds to the Aub 18

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Peyton Barber run for 6 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean White pass complete to Peyton Barber for 1 yd to the Aub 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Sean White pass complete to Peyton Barber for 18 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sean White pass complete to Ricardo Louis for 6 yds to the Aub 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Sean White pass incomplete to D'haquille Williams

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.07

Peyton Barber run for 10 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus Davis

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.85

Sean White sacked by Richie Brown for a loss of 12 yards to the Aub 47

3rd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.32

Sean White pass complete to D'haquille Williams for 19 yds to the MisSt 34

4th & 3Field Goal Good+51 ydsPPA +0.65

Daniel Carlson 51 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 45

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 46

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 49

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
31 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays