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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 4.6

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
760013
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-710-1010-1317-13
South CarolinaNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCPUNT3-1ydTO858ydPUNT928ydTD591ydTD1175ydFG745ydFG1168ydFG1154ydDOWNS936ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT66ydPUNT35ydTO559ydPUNT1030ydPUNT423ydTD464ydPUNT34ydDOWNS634ydTO1380ydEND722yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and South Carolina
StatisticNorth CarolinaSouth Carolina
Passing19-3112-27
Pass Yards232140
Rush Yards208254
Total Yards440394
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-137-15
Penalties6-308-60
Possession24:2235:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Marquise Williams
19/31, 232 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Elijah Hood
13 CAR, 138 YDS
receiving
Bug Howard
6 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
South Carolina
passing
Connor Mitch
9/22, 122 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shon Carson
4 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Pharoh Cooper
3 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the SCaro 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Carlton Heard

4th & 11Punt+39 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 39 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.96

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 15 yds to the SOCAROLINA 49 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Johnson) to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the SCaro 34

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 39

2nd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Romar Morris run for 15 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the SCaro 15

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Romar Morris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 3 yds to the SCaro 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.18

Marquise Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Skai Moore return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SCaro 26

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.61

Pharoh Cooper pass complete to Carlton Heard for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 21

4th & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.35

Sean Kelly run for 17 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Hayden Hurst) to the SCaro 33

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Connor Mitch run for 6 yds to the SCaro 39

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Jerell Adams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to David Williams, broken up by Des Lawrence

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 43 yds, downed at the NCaro 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.90

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 40 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 23 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the SCaro 26

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Williams, Marquise pass incomplete to Switzer, Ryan, PENALTY SOCAROLINA substitution infraction 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA21, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.98

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 21 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Pharoh Cooper run for 7 yds to the SCaro 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to David Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Connor Mitch pass complete to Jerell Adams for 16 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

David Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.35

Connor Mitch pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 20 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Pharoh Cooper run for 3 yds to the NCaro 22

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Brandon Wilds run for 8 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the NCaro 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Mitch run for 4 yds to the NCaro 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Mitch pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Marquise Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.08

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 28 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 40

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquise Williams pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 3 yds to the SCaro 37

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Marquise Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.52

Nick Weiler 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.63

Connor Mitch pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 27 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Mitch pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 4 yds to the NCaro 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by M.J. Stewart

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Connor Mitch run for 15 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Connor Mitch run for 9 yds to the NCaro 15

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Mitch run for 3 yds to the NCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

David Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.89

Elliott Fry 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 16 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

T.J. Logan run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.17

T.J. Logan run for 20 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Caleb Peterson) to the SCaro 25

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Marquise Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.44

Marquise Williams sacked by Kelsey Griffin and Darius English for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 21

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Weiler 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to David Williams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Connor Mitch run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Perry Orth pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 15 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Perry Orth pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Mitch run for 1 yd to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Missed Field Goal Return+43 yds

Elliott Fry 57 yd FG RETURNED , Ryan Switzer return for 43 yds to the NCaro 43

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the NCaro 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the NCaro 34

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Markway) to the NCaro 36

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 41

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Pharoh Cooper

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 7 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for no gain to the NCaro 31

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Williams, Marquise pass complete to Hollins, Mack for 14 yards to the UNC45, PENALTY UNC illegal formation 5 yards to the UNC26, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard, broken up by Isaiah Johnson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Mitch pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 5 yds Brandon Wilds fumbled, forced by M.J. Stewart, recovered by SCaro Jerell Adams

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Marquavius Lewis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 6 yds to the NCaro 26

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.61

Elijah Hood run for 44 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.98

Marquise Williams pass intercepted Jordan Diggs return for 2 yds to the SCaro 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Pharoh Cooper pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Connor Mitch pass complete to Terry Googer for 17 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Pharoh Cooper run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Connor Mitch run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.40

Connor Mitch pass complete to Terry Googer for 22 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NCaro 44

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Connor Mitch sacked by Mikey Bart for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Connor Mitch pass incomplete to Jerell Adams

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Mitch run for no gain to the NCaro 46

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the NCaro 3

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.81

Elijah Hood run for 21 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Hood run for 6 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 6 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.73

Marquise Williams sacked by Kelsey Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 26

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Pharoh Cooper at the SCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

David Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Mitch pass complete to Jerell Adams for 2 yds to the SCaro 43

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.02

David Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Shon Carson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 46

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Shon Carson run for 14 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Shon Carson run for 11 yds to the NCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Shon Carson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 19

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Perry Orth run for 7 yds to the NCaro 12

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

David Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 12

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.97

Perry Orth run for no gain to the NCaro 12

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Marquise Williams sacked by Phillip Dukes for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 10

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.00

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 13 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 16 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

T.J. Logan run for 8 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 6 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 1Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.25

Elijah Hood run for 29 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 14 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

T.J. Logan run for no gain to the SCaro 9

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Marquise Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 3

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Marquise Williams sacked by Dante Sawyer for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 8

4th & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.70

Marquise Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Skai Moore return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Pharoh Cooper run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Brandon Wilds run for 10 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 42

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play