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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 7.8

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UT Martin
00303
Ole MissOle Miss
2714142176

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425670846-020-034-041-055-062-369-376-3
Ole MissUT Martin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMUMOMUMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMOMUMPUNT429ydPUNT30ydTD160ydPUNT519ydTD526ydPUNT3-3ydTD156ydPUNT413ydTD838ydPUNT32ydTD877ydPUNT515ydPUNT36ydMISS938ydTD380ydEND1053ydPUNT832ydTO35ydTD10ydPUNT30ydTD553ydFG568ydTD1475ydPUNT35ydTD382ydPUNT48ydTD680ydEND422yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UT Martin and Ole Miss
StatisticUT MartinOle Miss
Passing16-2919-28
Pass Yards174324
Rush Yards116338
Total Yards290662
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-174-9
Penalties6-433-30
Possession36:0923:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UT Martin
passing
Jarod Neal
13/24, 139 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Trent Garland
8 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Najee Ray
1 REC, 64 YDS
Ole Miss
passing
Chad Kelly
9/15, 211 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Eugene Brazley
6 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cody Core
2 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.06

Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 27 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-21 ydsPPA -2.79

TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the Miss 21

2nd & 31Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.12

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 23 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnMar 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trent Garland run for 3 yds to the TnMar 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jarod Neal pass complete to Ben Axline for 5 yds to the TnMar 16

3rd & 2Penalty-8 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-8 Yards) to the TnMar 8

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jarod Neal pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+51 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 51 yds , Carlos Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 40

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Jaylen Walton 60 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jarod Neal pass complete to Trent Garland for 9 yds to the TnMar 25

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Trent Garland run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Trent Garland run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 27

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jarod Neal run for 6 yds to the TnMar 33

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarod Neal run for 2 yds to the TnMar 35

4th & 3Punt+58 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 49 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 58 yds to the TnMar 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan Engram

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 10 yds to the TnMar 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.21

DeVante Kincade pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 12 yds to the TnMar 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jaylen Walton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Rod Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jarod Neal pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarod Neal pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 44

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 56 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Trent Garland run for 10 yds to the TnMar 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Preston Baker run for 5 yds to the TnMar 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Preston Baker run for 3 yds to the TnMar 32

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Trent Garland run for no gain to the TnMar 32

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 27

4th & 7Punt+11 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 37 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 11 yds to the Miss 47. TENN MARTIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Thompson-Clay) to the TnMar 38

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Akeem Judd run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Markell Pack for 7 yds to the TnMar 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ryan Buchanan pass incomplete to Taz Zettergren

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.04

Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Taz Zettergren for 5 yds to the TnMar 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Wilkins run for 12 yds to the TnMar 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Buchanan pass incomplete to Laquon Treadwell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the TnMar 15

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.18

Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 15 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaimiee Bowe run for 2 yds to the TnMar 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Taylor Higgason

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Jaimiee Bowe

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 41 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 1 yd to the Miss 28 OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Miss 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

DeVante Kincade pass complete to Jaylen Walton for 12 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

DeVante Kincade pass incomplete to Jaylen Walton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

DeVante Kincade pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 9 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

DeVante Kincade run for 4 yds to the TnMar 47

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the TnMar 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the TnMar 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

DeVante Kincade pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 7 yds to the TnMar 31

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.32

Ryan Buchanan pass complete to Robert Nkemdiche for 31 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Najee Ray run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the TnMar 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Jarod Neal pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 8 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ladevin Fair run for 2 yds to the TnMar 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Najee Ray run for 2 yds to the TnMar 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Rod Wright

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 43 yds, downed at the Miss 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 5 yds to the Miss 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylen Walton run for 1 yd to the Miss 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Hunter Thurley

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 44 yds , William Tanner returns for 8 yds to the Miss 31 OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Miss 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaimiee Bowe run for 4 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the Miss 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Ben Axline

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.93

Trent Garland run for 18 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 19

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Trent Garland run for 1 yd to the Miss 18

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Trent Garland run for 2 yds to the Miss 16

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.47

Jarod Neal run for 10 yds to the Miss 6

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal+23 yds

Jackson Redditt 23 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Robert Nkemdiche

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan Wilkins run for 14 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Miss 43

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +3.95

Chad Kelly pass complete to Cody Core for 57 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Preston Baker run for 4 yds to the TnMar 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Preston Baker run for 5 yds to the TnMar 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.41

Jarod Neal pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 18 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Preston Baker run for 5 yds to the Miss 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Jarod Neal pass complete to Rod Wright for 5 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jarod Neal pass complete to Ben Axline for 6 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Jarod Neal pass complete to Ben Axline for 9 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Jarod Neal sacked by A.J. Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to William Tanner

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarod Neal pass complete to Kyle Kerrick for 4 yds to the Miss 22

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Taylor Higgason run for 23 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Jarod Neal pass complete to Caylon Weathers for 9 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ladevin Fair run for 1 yd to the Miss 43

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.95

Jarod Neal run for 1 yd to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Ladevin Fair run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarod Neal pass complete to Ladevin Fair for 1 yd to the Miss 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jarod Neal pass incomplete to Jaimiee Bowe

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 3 yds to the Miss 19

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.05

Chad Kelly pass intercepted Jordan Landry return for no gain to the Miss 29

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-93 ydsPPA -11.21

Trae Elston 93 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.18

William Tanner run for a loss of 8 yards to the TnMar 17

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Najee Ray run for 4 yds to the TnMar 21 Najee Ray fumbled, recovered by TnMar Najee Ray

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jarod Neal pass complete to Brett Thompson for 4 yds to the TnMar 25

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 40 yds , Carlos Davis returns for 12 yds to the Miss 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 15 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Quincy Adeboyejo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Chad Kelly pass complete to Laquon Treadwell for 15 yds to the TnMar 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the TnMar 20

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Chad Kelly run for 20 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+64 ydsPPA +3.82

Jarod Neal pass complete to Najee Ray for 64 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarod Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Najee Ray run for 3 yds to the Miss 13

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jarod Neal run for 1 yd to the Miss 12

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.65

Jackson Redditt 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Miss 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Eugene Brazley run for 2 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Akeem Judd run for 9 yds to the TnMar 46

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.07

DeVante Kincade run for 11 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Akeem Judd run for 9 yds to the TnMar 26

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.38

Akeem Judd run for 7 yds to the TnMar 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the TnMar 18

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Eugene Brazley run for 3 yds to the TnMar 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DeVante Kincade pass complete to Collins Moore for 3 yds to the TnMar 12

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.16

DeVante Kincade pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Troy Cook pass complete to William Tanner for 5 yds to the TnMar 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Troy Cook pass incomplete to Brett Thompson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Troy Cook pass incomplete to William Tanner

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 57 yds, downed at the Miss 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Eugene Brazley run for 7 yds to the Miss 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Eugene Brazley run for 5 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Eugene Brazley run for 70 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Troy Cook pass complete to Rod Wright for 17 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Preston Baker run for 6 yds to the TnMar 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Preston Baker run for 3 yds to the Miss 49

3rd & 1Rush-18 ydsPPA -2.70

TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the TnMar 33

4th & 19Punt+46 yds

Jackson Redditt punt for 46 yds , Carlos Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 20

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.09

D.K. Buford run for 38 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

D.K. Buford run for 2 yds to the TnMar 40

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

D.K. Buford run for 8 yds to the TnMar 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Martin Johnson run for 3 yds to the TnMar 29

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

DeVante Kincade run for 9 yds to the TnMar 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

D.K. Buford run for 20 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Troy Cook pass complete to Tyler Eddings for 13 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd to the TnMar 38

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the TnMar 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the TnMar 46

Situational Analysis

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
73%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play