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← Back to GamesSep 6, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Alabama 60%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 6, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
073717
AlabamaAlabama
7714735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-721-728-1035-17
AlabamaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAWISALAPUNT64ydPUNT619ydTD690ydPUNT423ydPUNT716ydTD963ydTD888ydPUNT933ydPUNT36ydDOWNS223ydPUNT58ydTD256ydPUNT34ydMISS621ydPUNT30ydTD767ydFG942ydMISS1153ydPUNT3-9ydTD327ydTD775ydPUNT731ydTO212ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Alabama
StatisticWisconsinAlabama
Passing26-3922-29
Pass Yards228264
Rush Yards40238
Total Yards268502
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-144-11
Penalties5-5011-120
Possession28:5531:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Joel Stave
26/39, 228 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Erickson
1 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Alex Erickson
6 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama
passing
Jake Coker
15/21, 213 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Derrick Henry
13 CAR, 147 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Robert Foster
4 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrick Henry run for 5 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 1 yd to the Alab 34

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Coker sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 24

4th & 18Punt+3 yds

JK Scott punt for 43 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 8 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Alab 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 22 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 22 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jake Coker pass complete to Derrick Henry for 1 yd to the Wisc 45

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Kenyan Drake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 47 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dakota Ball) declined

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Jake Coker pass complete to Robert Foster for 10 yds to the Wisc 37

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.66

Derrick Henry 37 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for 6 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 40

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 45 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 1 yd to the Alab 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the Alab 28

2nd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Coker sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 14 yards to the Alab 14

3rd & 23Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Conor Sheehy) to the Alab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kenyan Drake run for 3 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Coker pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Coker pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+31 yds

JK Scott punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALABAMA 22 ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cole Mazza) to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 3 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 5 yds to the Alab 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 12 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 20 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Alab 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joel Stave pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Alex Erickson 6 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sojourn Shelton) to the Alab 17

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Derrick Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 16

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Derrick Henry run for 14 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Coker, Jake pass complete to Stewart, ArDarius for 20 yards to the WISCONSIN42, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Stewart, ArDarius) 15 yards to the ALABAMA23, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenyan Drake run for 3 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 22Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.97

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 33 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 13 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 11 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Robert Foster 17 Yd pass from Jake Coker (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 6 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.39

Joel Stave sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 22

2nd & 17Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.79

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 22 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 36

1st & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 4 yds to the Alab 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Jones at the Alab 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 4 yds to the Alab 17

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenyan Drake run for 2 yds to the Alab 19

4th & 4Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 23 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 34 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare Ogunbowale

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Stave, Joel pass incomplete to McEvoy, Tanner (Humphrey, Marlon), PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Humphrey, Marlon) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.15

Joel Stave sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 26

3rd & 16Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.11

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 24

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 32 yds, downed at the Alab 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart, broken up by D'Cota Dixon

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.53

Derrick Henry 56 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Dalvin Tomlinson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson

4th & 6Punt+18 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 37 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for 18 yds to the Wisc 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Jake Coker pass complete to Richard Mullaney for 16 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Vince Biegel) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Jake Coker run for 11 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Dakota Ball) to the Wisc 23

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the Wisc 28

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart

3rd & 17Penalty-10 yds

Drake, Kenyan rush for 6 yards to the WISCONSIN22, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Pierschbacher, Ross) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 27Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Jake Coker pass complete to Derrick Henry for 11 yds to the Wisc 27

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Adam Griffith 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoy, broken up by Dalvin Tomlinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Corey Clement

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Minkah Fitzpatrick

4th & 10Punt+39 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 39 yds , Cyrus Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jake Coker pass complete to Kenyan Drake for 15 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Drake, Kenyan rush for no gain to the ALABAMA48, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Robinson, Cam) 10 yards to the ALABAMA38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.98

Jake Coker pass complete to O.J. Howard for 21 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Jake Coker pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 16 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Kenyan Drake run for 12 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Coker pass incomplete to ArDarius Stewart, broken up by T.J. Edwards

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Derrick Henry run for 11 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Derrick Henry 2 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Watt, Derek, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Hamilton, Shaun) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Wisc 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 8 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 5 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 1 yd to the Alab 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 14 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 4 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Eddie Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoy, broken up by Cyrus Jones

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Logan Schmidt) to the Alab 25

4th & 11Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.76

Rafael Gaglianone 43 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cooper Bateman run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Kenyan Drake run for 7 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the Alab 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cooper Bateman pass complete to O.J. Howard for 5 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Cooper Bateman pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 13 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Wisc 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cooper Bateman pass incomplete to Kenyan Drake

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Adam Griffith 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.48

Joel Stave sacked by Minkah Fitzpatrick for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 13

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 19Punt+7 yds

Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds for a 1ST down , Cyrus Jones returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (D'Cota Dixon) to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 31

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

Harris, Damien rush for 1 yard to the WISCONSIN30, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Bozeman, Bradley) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Cooper Bateman sacked by Alec James for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 43

3rd & 26Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +6.76

Kenyan Drake 43 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Alex Erickson run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 12 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Joel Stave pass complete to Taiwan Deal for 4 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 14 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Wheelwright, Robert, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Fitzpatrick, Minkah) 10 yards to the ALABAMA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Robert Wheelwright 3 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 12

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 10

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Cooper Bateman pass complete to Ty Flournoy-Smith for 17 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Damien Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 32

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

JK Scott punt for 38 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 12 yds to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 12 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-51 ydsPPA -2.99

Joel Stave pass intercepted Eddie Jackson return for 41 yds to the WISCONSIN 25 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Maurice Smith) to the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 37

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the Wisc 27

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play